Around the Nation, Part 3: Wrapping up the PAC-12

PAC-12

Washington Huskies
2010-11 Record: 7-6, (5-4)
Head Coach: Steve Sarkisian

Steve Sarkisian enters his third season as Head Coach with his program at a crossroads. After an average 2009-10 season, the Huskies improved to a winning record both overall and in conference behind the leadership of enigmatic QB Jake Locker (2,265 yards, 17 TD's, 9 INT's). Heading into 2011, the Dawgs are hoping this is the year the team manages to escape from the dregs of the PAC-12 and trends toward contending.

Quarterback will be the position to watch in Seattle this year as sophomore Keith Price looks to lock down the starting job after playing sparingly behind Locker, including a 127 yard effort vs defending champions Oregon in garbage time. All eyes, however, will be on sophomore Nick Montana, son of legendary 49er's QB Joe Montana, whom Sarkisian redshirted last year. The offensive line should steadily improve with senior Senio Kelemete and junior center Drew Schaefer leading the way for a unit entering 2011 with sixty-five combined starts. The highlight of the offense will be junior RB, Chris Polk, who looks to build upon a fantastic sophomore season (260 yards, 1,415 yards, 9 TD's). Granted his stats were a little inflated thanks to a 284 yard effort against Washington St, but he will still be a force. Wide receiver will be the most talented position as seniors Jermaine Kearse (63 catches, 1,005 yards, 12 TD's), Devin Aguilar (28 catches, 352 yards, 2 TD's), and junior James Johnson, who was limited in 2010 due to injury, all return.

On defense, All-PAC-12 talent DT Alameda Ta'amu returns and should have another excellent season provided he gets contributions from his compatriots. Linebacker, Cort Dennison, returns as the heart of the defense (92 tackles, 2 sacks). CB's Quentin Richardson and Desmond Trufant look to build on solid 2010 campaigns, while Sean Parker could be a star in the making at safety. The schedule does the Dawgs no favors, and a slight regression in record, not improvement, should be expected.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (4-4)

Arizona State Sun Devils
2010-11 Record: 6-6, (4-5)
Head Coach: Dennis Erickson

Expectation. That one word sufficiently describes the state of ASU's upcoming season. After three bowl game-less seasons, Head Coach Dennis Erickson may be entering his final season in the desert. Eight returning starters on both offense and defense give the Devils hope that 2011 may be the year that momentum, talent, and expectation all blend together.

Junior QB Brock Osweiler leads the offense after various emergency call ups in 2010. Over his last two starts, the former basketball recruit racked up over six hundred yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions. With an incoming eighty-four starts between the offensive linemen (all five starters return), it should be assumed that the unit will be able to cut down on the 31 sacks they surrendered last year. The Devils have arguably the best running back tandem in the conference, with returning junior, Cameron Marshall, (150 carries, 787 yards, 9 TD's) and sophomore Deantre Lewis (92 carries, 539 yards, 4 TD's) looking to ground out close wins that eluded the squad in previous years. State's returning receivers, Kerry Taylor, T.J. Simpson (who is currently injured) and Mike Willie must improve their forty-one percent target rate, which was third lowest in the country among WR trios.

The defense lost a key contributor in Omar Bolden after he tore his ACL this spring, and will rely more than ever on junior All-American LB, Vontaze Burfict, (89 tackles, 2 forced fumbles). Burfict's talent has never been questioned; his maturity is the main issue after leading the PAC-10 in personal foul penalties last year. Although the unit held six opponents to 20 points or fewer last year, the secondary is the biggest question mark. After the loss of Bolden, CB Osahon Irabor (33 tackles) will be forced into the playmaker role. If CB Deveron Carr and FS Keelan Johnson can recover from injury, the back four will be bolstered considerably.

2011-12 Prediction: 9-3, (6-3)

California Golden Bears
2010-11 Record: 5-7, (3-6)
Head Coach: Jeff Tedford

Janus, the two headed Roman god, probably studied the ways of the 2010 Bears. Cal was extremely tough at home, limiting eventual conference champion, Oregon, to 15 points, and horrendous on the road, losing by 28 to Oregon State. In the twenty-eight years before Coach Tedford took the reigns, Cal had nine winning seasons; in the last nine years, the Bears had eight winning seasons. Will that continue, or will last year's disaster put Tedford squarely on the hot-seat?

Transfer, QB Zach Maynard, will be given the keys to the offense after a stellar season in Turner Gill's final year in Buffalo (2,894 yards, 18 TD's, 15 INT's). Junior RB Isi Sofele will be charged with replacing departed Shane Vereen's (231 carries, 1,167 yards, 13 TD's)  numbers. The offensive line will be led by left tackle, Mitchell Schwartz, whose 38 career starts account for nearly half of the eighty-five combined starts, and should have no difficulty opening holes for Sofele & Co. Senior wideout Marvin Jones (50 catches, 765 yards, 4 TD's) and sophomore Keenan Allen (46 catches, 490 yards, 5 TD's) must improve if Cal is to climb higher than 94th in passing offense.

Despite its 18th overall ranking, Cal's defense was feast or famine in 2010, alternating between excruciatingly stingy at home, and sieve-like on the road. An extremely aggressive 3-4 scheme should enable senior Trevor Guyton (29 tackles, 4.5 sacks, in four starts) to replicate the success of NFL first round pick, Cameron Jordan. Should his linemates hold up their end of the attack, the front four should be one of the stoutest in the PAC-12. The Bears lost two extremely talented linebackers, but also return two All-PAC-10's in Mychal Kendricks (66 tackles, 8.5 sacks) and D.J Holt (85 tackles, 2 sacks, 3 forced fumbles). The secondary played above expectations last year, yielding 15 passing TD's (5 to USC's Matt Barkley), and return two of four starters. Senior safety Sean Cattouse is the unpolished, yet phenomenally talented backstop of the unit. CB Marc Anthony (48 tackles, 2 INT's) returns as well and the junior should step up after his first full year of work.

2011-12 Prediction: 7-5, (5-5)

Arizona Wildcats
2010-11 Record: 7-6, (4-5)
Head Coach: Mike Stoops

Seven years after Coach Stoops started calling the shots in Tuscon, the Cats are in a much better position than they have ever been, but still have not broken the overall .500 plateau. Three straight bowl games have given the faithful reason for optimism, but in true Arizona fashion, the wins somehow seem to highlight the inadequacies of the squad rather than the progress, including a five-game losing streak to end 2010.

What the Cats have in skill position prowess, they more than lose in offensive line stability, with injury replacement center Kyle Quinn's one start the high water mark for the unit, leaving it at 120th in college football. The gelling of the freshman tackles, along with the departure of positional coach Bill Bedenbaugh to West Virginia, will go a long way in determining whether QB Nick Foles (3,191 yards, 20 TD's, 10 INT's) can replicate a stellar 2010, or will spend extra time looking up at the floodlights. Standout WR Juron Criner returns after a banner junior year (82 catches, 1,233, 11 TD's) and will be joined by workman-like senior David Douglas, who can play the 'X', 'Y' or 'Z' positions. Senior Keola Antolin (143 carries, 668 yards, 7 TD's) will be the feature back, but the depth behind him is troubling after junior Greg Nwoko tore his ACL in spring training.

The uncertainty of the line pales in comparison to the state of the defense, which lost five key starters to graduation. Youth will be the name of the game, and the youngsters will have to master a steep learning curve. The defensive line lost All-PAC 10's Brooks Reed and Ricky Elmore to the NFL and, much like the O-line, has only one returning starter with more than four starts. Linebacker is equally thin as Jake Fischer, who was expected to anchor the corps, tore his ACL, and the Cats will rely on their JUCO transfers from last year to take their game to the next level. The secondary is a work in progress. New strong safety Marquis Flowers is an All-PAC 12 in the making, but senior CB Trevin Wade must return to his 2009 form if the unit has any hope of improving from a disappointing 2010.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (4-5)

Oregon State Beavers
2010-11 Record: 5-7, (4-5)
Head Coach: Mike Riley

The Beavers suffered their first losing season since 2005 last year, despite the presence of all world talents James and Jaquizz Rodgers. With James going through two offseason surgeries, two new offensive coaches, and myriad injuries at seemingly every position, only time will tell if Coach Riley can prevent a lost season in Corvallis.

On offense, the line must have a better season in 2011. With 91 combined starts between the starters, center Alex Linnenkohl will be responsible for spearheading the improvement, given that Jacquizz will not be there to bail them out. Junior QB Ryan Katz (2,401 yards, 17 TD's, 11 INT's) is recovering from a broken scaphoid bone in his throwing wrist but should be okay come September. The running back position is wide open, with Ryan McCants, Jordan Jenkins, and Jovan Stevenson all competing for the number one spot, although a scheme by committee could be in the cards. Junior Markus Wheaton (55 catches, 675 yards, 4 TD's) must step up if the Beavs want to have any semblance of an aerial attack. The biggest rebuilding project is the defense. Riley must try and replace 2010 PAC-10 Defensive Player of the Year, Stephen Paea, and rebuild two-thirds of his linebacking group. Despite the loss of outstanding CB James Dockery, the secondary should be the strength of the unit, with safety Lance Mitchell (74 tackles, 2 INT's) leading the way. Few PAC-12 receivers will have the speed to beat CB Jordan Poyer, but with the massive overhaul expected in the front seven, this unit will face a lot of pressure and could have trouble replicating the effort, especially with a slate of particularly brutal road games, starting off week 1 at Madison, against the Badgers.

2011-12 Prediction: 4-7, (4-5)

Around the Nation, Part 2: The PAC-12

PAC-12

The newly realigned PAC-12 will be looking for another banner year by its teams. The biggest question facing the conference is how the additions of new comers Utah and Colorado will affect recruiting, exposure, and perception. Here's a look at what we can expect from these teams, in no particular order.

Oregon Ducks
2010-11 Record: 12-1, (9-0); Defeated in National Championship game by Auburn
Head Coach: Chip Kelly

Ducks fly together. Unless you happen to be CB Cliff Harris who was pulled over after clocking 118 mph in a rental car, on a suspended license. Harris, who had a stellar 2010 on defense (6 INT's, 1 TD) and special teams (school record 4 punt return TD's) is now indefinitely suspended from the team, and the NCAA is looking into any nefarious angles associated with the situation.

On the field, however, the Ducks look as fierce as ever, at least on offense. Heisman finalist LaMichael James (294 carries, 1,731 yards, 21 TD's) and star QB Darron Thomas (2,881 yards, 30 TD's, 9 INT's) return to fuel the 'blur' as do offensive lineman Darrion Weems, Mark Asper, and Carson York. Their 56 combined starts ranks in the lower fourth in the nation, but Steve Greatwood is one of the best positional coaches in the country and will put a powerful line together. The wideout group will sorely miss Jeff Maehl (77 catches, 1,076 yards, 12 TD's), but Josh Huff, who racked up 1,086 all purpose yards in 2010, is the leading candidate to fill Maehl's shoes. Senior Lavasier Tuinei looks to continue his pace from an injury shortened 2010 and will be counted on for leadership. In order for Oregon to make a repeat appearance, their defense will have to overcome some major holes. The Ducks need to replace four members of last year's outstanding front seven and, with the suspension of Harris, both CB's. They won't have much time to mature, as Oregon's first game is a prime-time matchup vs retooled LSU. A defeat would surely submarine the Ducks' campaign before it got started.

2011-12 Prediction: 11-1, (9-0)

Stanford Cardinal
2010-11 Record: 12-1, (8-1)
Head Coach: David Shaw

The Cardinal completed a storybook season in 2010 thanks to Superman QB Andrew Luck, a vicious defense, and the direction provided by tough-nosed Jim Harbaugh. The 2011 version of the Cardinal has a few holes to fill if another run at defending PAC-12 champs Oregon is in store. The return of Luck (3,338 yards, 32 TD's, 8 INT's) automatically makes them contenders on paper. Helping him will be junior RB Stepfan Taylor (223 carries, 1,137 yards, 15 TD's) who could be a sleeper Heisman contender with Luck. Outside of those two playmakers, however, the Card(s?) have some nagging issues.

Gone is do-everything FB/LB Owen Marecic as well as Luck's two favorite targets in Doug Baldwin (58 catches, 857 yards, 9 TD's) and Ryan Whalen (41 catches, 439 yards, 2 TD's). Luck's new targets will include senior Chris Owusu and junior Jamal Rashad-Patterson, who combined for 645 yards and 2 TD's. Both have good size and speed, coupled with experience. Luck's main target will most likely be senior TE Coby Fleener who emerged as one of the best pass catching TE's in the country last year (28 catches, 434 yards, 7 TD's). The biggest issue on offense will be the young and inexperienced offensive line. Last year, Luck was sacked a paltry 5 times, but Chase Beeler, Andrew Phillips, and Derek Hall have moved on. Senior Jonathan Martin will be counted on to anchor the line and keep Luck upright. The defense needs major retooling as well; Senior DE Matthew Masifilo is the only returning starter on the line and the team needs to replace a majority of the linebacking corps. Safeties Delano Howell and Michael Thomas will be counted on to backstop an average secondary. The schedule sets up nicely for the Cardinal in a weak conference, as home games vs Oregon and Notre Dame will be the most daunting challenges.

2011-12 Prediction: 10-2, (8-1)

Colorado Buffaloes
2010-11 Record (in Big 12): 5-7, (2-6)
Head Coach: Jon Embree

Why it took the brain trust at Colorado so long to fire Dan Hawkins ranks right up alongside the 1947 Roswell incident and what actually happened to Elvis as one of the greatest mysteries of the last century. The Buffs are looking to start fresh with a brand new coach in a brand new conference.

The success will start with the offensive line, which boasts a PAC-12 tops and 17th best in the country, ninety-seven combined starts. This should greatly help underrated RB Rodney Stewart (290 carries, 1,318 yards, 10 TD's) produce similar numbers and take a vast amount of pressure off unproven senior QB Tyler Hansen (1,102 yards, 6 TD's, 6 INT's in seven starts). Sophomore wideout Paul Richardson leads a solid group of young receivers and looks to build off an impressive freshman season (34 catches, 514 yards, 6 TD's) playing across from now-departed Scotty McKnight. Rounding out the pass catchers will be sneaky good TE Ryan Deehan (25 catches, 249 yards, 1 TD), poised to take a step forward in his second full season. The defense should be strong, switching back to a base 4-3. All of last year's line, which ranked top five in the Big 12 in both run defense and sacks (+13), is back. Joining them is linebacker Jon Major, fully healthy after another knee injury (hopefully). Alongside him will be potential star, Doug Rippy, who could be an All-PAC 12 player provided he performs with some consistency. The weak-link in the group is the secondary, which must replace CB's Jimmy Smith and Jalil Brown. Senior safety Anthony Perkins looks to lead the group once again, after suffering a torn ACL in week 5. The schedule is the largest obstacle facing the Buffs; Ohio St., Stanford, and Utah on the road, in addition to home games vs Oregon and USC could make their transition year quite painful.

2011-12 Prediction: 6-7, (4-6)

Washington State Cougars
2010-11 Record: 2-10, (1-8)
Head Coach: Paul Wulff

Reasons for cheering in Pullman have been few and far between since 2002. The Cougars have been chalked up as an automatic 'W' for most programs in the PAC-12 the past couple of seasons, except for slightly less bad, state-sharing, Washington. A 2-25 conference record over Coach Wulff's three year tenure leaves the Cougs looking way, way up from the bottom.

Any hope starts with QB Jeff Tuel. The third year starter is coming off a quietly solid season (2,780 yards, 18 TD's, 12 INT's) and is primed to continue his ascent, provided his offensive line doesn't get him killed. Tuel has two excellent receivers in senior Jared Karstetter (62 catches, 658 yards, 7 TDs) and sophomore Marquess Wilson (55 catches, 1,006 yards, 6 TD's). In the backfield, junior Logwone Mitz returns as the presumed starter after a so-so 2010, (73 carries, 263 yards, 4 TD's) but watch out for redshirt Rickey Galvin who was breathing down Mitz's neck before breaking his arm in the season opener. The defense ranked 117th nationally, but returns seven starters including junior DE, Travis Young, (50 tackles, 5 sacks, 1 forced fumble). The secondary returns all four starters, and freshman DT Toni Pole has the makings of a star. The Cougars will need their offensive line to drastically improve. After surrendering 48 sacks last year, the team has to hope the seventy-one combined starts between the starters allows them to control the line of scrimmage more effectively. The Cougs averaged an anemic 2.6 yards per rushing attempt, were a minus twenty-nine in sacks, and were outscored 111-28 in the first quarter. The schedule presents room for immediate improvement, with games vs Idaho State, UNLV, and on the road at SDSU before facing their first PAC-12 foe, Colorado. The season ending Apple Cup presents the best chance for revenge against U-Dub, as Jake Locker's departure leaves the Huskies trending downward.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (2-7)

Utah Utes
2010-11 Record (in Mountain West): 10-3, (7-1)
Head Coach: Kyle Whittingham

Rice-Eccles Stadium was rocking in its final Mountain West season as the Utes stormed to an 8-0 record and were on the verge of joining fellow mid-majors TCU and Boise St. as a BCS Buster. Then, the wheels fell off, quite literally, and the Utes staggered to a 2-3 finish while putting up a laughable 13 total points in the three losses.

In a new conference, the Utes will have to navigate a slew of changes and hope for a little luck to immediately contend. Former USC guru, Norm Chow, is the new offensive coordinator and needs a few players to step up. QB Jordan Wynn (2,344 yards, 17 TD's, 10 INT's) is recovering from shoulder surgery, and won't have his top two RB's or top two WR's to work with thanks to graduation. The biggest returning weapon is WR DeVonte Christopher (39 catches, 660 yards, 6 TD's). RB is an unsettled position, with senior Mychal Robinson the only experienced starter. The offensive line's sixty-five combined starts ranks in the bottom half of the nation and the PAC-12, but they should do an adequate job. On defense, the Utes will employ only five returning starters, and none of the returning front seven have registered more than two sacks in a season. Linebacker will be the strong point of the unit, returning starters Chaz Walker (113 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble) and Matt Martinez (91 tackles, 1.5 sacks) but there will be issues for the secondary, ranked 73rd last year, which must replace four starters. In a pass-happy PAC-12, that could spell disaster. On the bright side, Utah plays an unbalanced schedule, avoiding Oregon and Stanford which should ensure a winning season.

2011-12 Prediction: 8-5, (7-2)

USC Trojans
2010-11 Record:  8-5, (5-4)
Head Coach: Lane Kiffin

Year number one of post Reggie Bush-gate had its ups and downs, but was not the type of season Southern Californians have come to expect from the men of Troy. A historically bad defense and the lack of enough depth to allow full contact practices, thanks to lost scholarships, were the harbingers of USC's first five-loss season since 2001.

The task of injecting swagger back into the program rides solely on the shoulders of junior QB Matt Barkley (2,791 yards, 26 TD's, 12 INT's). With arguably the best arm in college football, and a game IQ beyond his years, he needs to play with more consistency to make the leap. The Trojans were outscored 118-72 in fourth quarters last year. Helping him out will be a bevy of talented RB's. Senior Marc Tyler (171 carries, 913 yards, 9 TD's) returns and redshirt freshman D.J. Morgan may be the most complete back on the roster. On the receiving end of Barkley's passes will be All-American sophomore Robert Woods who became an instant star with a 65 catch, 792 yard, 6 TD season. The 6'1, 185 lb Woods figures on continual development with Barkley at the helm. The one knock on the unit is maturity. Comprised of lethal athletes, the largest question surrounding them will be their ability to respond to the pressure of playing at a consistently high level. On defense, the Trojans have nowhere to go but up after a disastrous first year in Monte Kiffin's complex system, evidenced by their abhorrent statistics; giving up more than 400 yards and 26 points a game can't be repeated, and the secondary's 30 surrendered touchdowns ranked 115th in the nation. That being said, the front four looks primed for a breakout season behind mega talented DE, Nick Perry, as long as they can avoid the injury bug that has plagued them the past two seasons. The linebackers will be led by budding star Devon Kennard, while a healthy Chris Galippo could be the difference maker lacking on last year's unit. The secondary will have to get better and it starts with junior FS T.J. McDonald. With cornerback speed and linebacker pop, he will be the key to the secondary's fortune. CB Nickell Robey had a team high 4 INT's and has the talent to star as the West Coast's Greg Reid. The ultimate fortune of the Trojans will depend on the offensive line. With a mere twenty-seven combined starts, there is only one true star in junior tackle Matt Kalil. Other than Kalil, there will be at least two rookies in the rotation, and depth will become an issue in a hurry should injuries persist. It's tough to figure out the schedule given all the issues, but games against Notre Dame, Stanford, and Oregon will prove to be tough challenges.

2011-12 Prediction: 8-4, (7-2)

Hopefully, the men of Troy give these lovely ladies something to cheer about this season

Around the Nation, Part 1: The PAC-12 via Texas

This is the story of how the University of Texas is actively trying to destroy college football. Okay, maybe a slight exaggeration, but hear me out. Over the past year, there was exciting talk about the former PAC-10 becoming the first 'super-conference' in the country, with the possible addition of six new teams. This would have been accomplished by essentially melting the majority of the Big 12 into the PAC-10. Unfortunately, as they often do, the powers in Austin threw up a Texas sized roadblock and proclaimed that they would not leave the conference. As the most powerful brand in the country (yes, it's the truth, Notre Dame), Texas let the rumors about leaving the Big 12 linger, then used that leverage to secure a twenty year, 300 million dollar TV deal with ESPN to air a 'Longhorn exclusive' network. In other words, Texas is now simply an independent school which uses the Big 12 as a scheduling partner. This would be fine, if it hadn't caused three other teams that were seriously considering switching conferences (Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Texas A&M) to stay put in the Big 12. So what's wrong with this? A lot. As a college football fan, I am praying for the day that so called 'super-conferences' come to fruition for a number of reasons. The primary reason is that such a move would signal the death of arguably the stupidest, most ill conceived, and unfair system in the world today: The BCS. Seriously. Find me a more unfair system this side of sub-Saharan Africa, and I'll give you a dollar. Second, this sets up a terrible precedent. Current football heads such as Orville Redenbacher E. Gordon Gee are all about perpetuating a glass ceiling, which they stand on top of. This is mainly why teams such as TCU and Boise St. scare the silly out of them. When the powers can't contrive a way to have the juggernaut mid-majors play each other (2010 Fiesta Bowl), they manage to convince voters and the BCS computers that the BCS Busters play inferior opponents (as Gee infamously proclaimed last year, "the Little Sisters of the Poor") and, therefore, a one loss power conference team is more deserving of a prestigious BCS Bowl slot than a one loss non-power school. 

I thought things were on the verge of changing least year until Boise's heartbreaking loss to Nevada. Although TCU dominated supposed heavyweight Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl, they ultimately made a decision to move into the Big East in 2012 to try and get a larger slice of the pie. This move is good in the sense that it's still a small step toward super-conferences,  but a hollow one in that the title of BCS Buster now sits squarely on the shoulder of one lonely program in Idaho. Super-conferences would require some sort of playoff system where the product you put on the field is the only factor that determines how good you really are. 

                                                                                

Where the Texas precedent becomes dangerous is recruiting. Imagine you are a 12 year old Pop-Warner player. You come home from a game, plop on your couch, and after watching your favorite cartoon show, you decide to turn to the 24 hour Longhorn Network to catch up on your other favorite show, The Bevo the Steer, Texas Power Hour. When that becomes boring, you switch to Gordon Gee's Story Time on the Buckeye Channel and maybe before bed, you take a peek at the programming on the NSS (Nick Saban's Statue) Network. Where then, does this leave the Boises, Utes, and the Toledos of the world? How would super-conferences alleviate this? As scheduling goes now, teams play a majority of games against divisional opponents. Most majors play a few bribed cupcakes early in the season to make them feel good about themselves; a few, like USC, balance that out by playing tough out of conference power teams. At the end of the year, the problem is still the same. USC, with one hand tied behind its back, will still be better than Washington State. Ohio State will still sleep walk through Indiana. It becomes predictable. In super conferences, I believe the trickle down theory that has applied to the nation's university system will carry over instead of the trickle sideways that currently occurs. As more and more applicants came to prestigious universities across the country, they became more selective. As their acceptance rates shrunk, there were extremely smart students who didn't get into their first choice schools. But they had to go somewhere. That somewhere turned out to be state universities, which is why average SAT scores and GPA requirements have increased drastically at most public schools and have, in turn, made them more selective and boosted their reputation.

College football teams have to be selective as well, they have only a set number of roster spots and a certain number of scholarships they can give depending on their program's academic status. In a super conference, what's not to say that a pretty good recruit, who isn't necessarily a star, doesn't get an offer from Michigan and really wants to prove them wrong. In today's set up, unless he gets an offer from Ohio State or Wisconsin, chances are he probably won't get a chance to actually compete against them. What if powerful former mid-major Nevada was in the Big 16? Or up and coming Tulsa? The greater number of attractive teams you have in one conference, the more equitable the sharing of talent becomes, the harder it is for teams like Texas and Ohio State to have a stranglehold on recruiting, and the better the end product. With super-conferences, going undefeated in a season would be almost impossible to do. If power conferences feel they are superior to mid majors then, as a fan, I want them to show me that on the field instead of hiding behind decimal points on a weekly print out.

Standing up for the little guy since 1297

A preview of the ACC continued

Continuing our study of the ACC, we now shift to the...


ACC Atlantic Division


Teams are listed in reverse predicted finish.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
2010-11 Record: 3-9, (1-7)
Head Coach: Jim Grobe

Why they can win the ACC: Much like Coastal counterpart, Duke, it's very difficult to imagine Wake Forest fielding a competitive team. Although they won 28 games between 2006 and 2008, the past few years have been a steady regression and it's likely the Deacs will find themselves at the bottom of the Atlantic pack once again. Lefty Tanner Price was hopelessly overwhelmed last season (1,349 yards, 7 TD's, 8 INT's) and the Deacons' ability to win is directly tied to how well he plays. The brightest spot on offense is undoubtedly RB Josh Harris (125 rushes, 725 yards, 7 TD's). He is the only real play-maker on that side of the ball, and certainly has big game potential, as evidenced by his 20 carry, 241 yard, 2 TD outing against Virginia Tech in Blacksburg. Behind an unspectacular yet veteran offensive line, the Deacs will rely heavily on him to improve their 91st ranked scoring offense. The receiving corps leaves something to be desired, as primary target Chris Givens (35 catches, 514 yards, 4 TD's) returns to lead a group that must produce and help the offense move the chains more often than last year. The defense is the stronger of the two units, led by senior Kyle Wilbur. He will be moving to outside linebacker in the Deac's new 3-4 scheme, from defensive end where he racked up ridiculous stats (65 tackles, 6 sacks, 1 forced fumble). He will have some help on the line from an undersized (5'11, 260 lbs) Nikita Whitlock who was a revelation at nose tackle as a freshman where he racked up 10.5 tackles for loss and 3 sacks.

Why they can't win the ACC: Uncertainty at QB is always the first obstacle any team faces. Price needs to play infinitely better than he did last year, with Senior Ted Stachitis waiting for his chance to wrestle the starting job away. While the the front seven on defense should be solid, the secondary leaves much to be desired considering Wake was minus twenty in touchdowns thrown vs touchdowns conceded (9-29). Unless the aerial attack can improve from the abysmal 114th ranking, the defense will be on the field much longer than it should which will allow opponents to feast on weak spots. Couple that with only one true push-over on the slate (Gardner-Webb) and a non-conference matchup with a Vandy team out for revenge, and this is lining up to be another long season in Winston Salem. When your must-win game is on the road against Duke, things probably could be better.

2011-12 Prediction: 2-10, (1-7)

Clemson Tigers
2010-11 Record: 6-7, (4-4)
Head Coach: Dabo Swinney

Why they can win the ACC: Talent has never been an issue in Death Valley. It's up to head coach and lead country folk singer Dabo Swinney to get the Tigers out of their perennial underachievement slump. In his third full season as leading man, Swinney certainly has the tools to make the Tigers serious contenders. The strength of this Tigers team will be their offensive line with four returning starters. First year line-coach Robbie Caldwell will have the deepest rotation in the ACC at his disposal. That should bode well for junior RB Andre Ellington. A nagging toe injury limited his involvement to fewer than nine full games last year, but he still put up spectacular numbers (118 carries, 686 yards, 10 TD's). If fully healed, the 1,000 yard mark is certainly attainable. True freshman Mike Bellamy will have an almost immediate impact as Ellington's substitute and sophomore Roderick McDowell gives the Tigers considerable depth at running back. Clemson's receivers are led by sophomore DeAndre Hopkins, who lit up secondaries up and down the coast as a true freshman. His 51 catches set a school record for a first-year player and his yardage and number of TD's (626, 4) bodes well for the future. The Tigers defense will once again be fearsome despite some key losses. In their third full season under coordinator Kevin Steele, Andre Thompson and Kevin Branch will anchor the defensive line while Stephone Anthony and Tony Steward (both true freshmen) will provide immediately at their linebacking positions. Replacing Marcus Gilchrist and Byron Maxwell in the secondary will be tough, but talent will not be lacking.

Why they can't win the ACC: Tajh Boyd. The starting QB had a so-so seven game stint last year (329 yards, 4 TD's, 3 INT's), but much will be expected of him this fall. Boyd will be in the hands of first year coordinator Chad Morris, who most recently held the same position at Tulsa. Under his tutelage, Tulsa ranked first nationally in yards per game (505.6) and points per game (41.6). His no-huddle, hurry-up system was also responsible for reigning Conference-USA player of the year, QB G.J. Kinne.  An unforgiving schedule features back-to-back-to-back games against defending National Champions, Auburn, and ACC heavyweights Florida State and Virginia Tech, and a season ending game in Columbia against a South Carolina team primed to make a run at the SEC title; a steep learning curve could prove disastrous for the young offense.

2011-12 Prediction: 6-6, (4-4)

Boston College Eagles
2010-11 Record: 7-6, (4-4)
Head Coach: Frank Spaziani

Why they can win the ACC: Montel Harris. Hands down, the best RB in the conference and one of the best in the country, Harris is the engine of BC's success. His monster 2010 (269 carries, 1,243 yards, 8 TD's) was even more impressive thanks to his unparalleled consistency (21 games with at least 100 yards rushing). With a similar season, Harris is almost guaranteed to break the ACC all-time rushing record of  4,603 yards set by former N.C. State RB Ted Brown from 1975-78. Furthermore his 2010 season pales in comparison to his other-worldly 2009 campaign  (308 carries, 1,457 yards, 14 TD's). Despite the loss of two steady starters, the Eagles should have an impressive offensive line to help pave the way for Harris. All five starters have varying levels of experience but the entire second unit is comprised of true freshmen. One or two injuries could seriously derail Harris' quest and the Eagles season. On the opposite side of the ball, the Eagles are led by their linebackers. At the head of the group is unanimous All-American sophomore, Luke Kuechly who led the nation in tackles (183) and solo tackles (110). Flanking him will be fellow sophomore Kevin Pierre-Louis who ranked second on the team with 93 tackles, 59 solo, and the seasoned Steve Divitto.

Why they can't win the ACC: As stout as the linebacking unit is, defensive line is the biggest question mark on the team. Their cohesiveness will go a long way in determining how effective the entire unit can be. Continuing a theme in the ACC, QB consistency will be the fulcrum that determines the Eagles fortunes. Chase Retig will be in his second full season as the starter and needs to improve from a pedestrian 2010 (1,238 yards, 12 TD's, 9 INT's). Whether he can make the leap will be determined by his stable of receivers. There are no clear super-stars in this group yet, as sophomore Bobby Swigert looks to build upon a solid freshman year (39 catches, 504 yards, 4 TD's) and Colin Larmond Jr. seeks to return to form after sitting out all of last season with a knee injury. If the offensive becomes too one dimensional and teams force the issue with Harris, the Eagles won't be able to see the expected improvement. The Eagles could start off 5-0, but play five of their last seven on the road, including a non-conference trip to South Bend.

2011-12 Prediction: 7-5, (4-4)

North Carolina State Wolfpack
2010-11 Record: 9-4, (5-3)
Head Coach: Tom O'Brien

Why they can win the ACC: Last year was a watershed moment for the Wolfpack program, and Coach O'Brien will be looking to carry that momentum into this year. The Pack will be guided by Sean Glennon in his first full season as QB. Word around the campfire is he has all the tools to become a big-time player, although  his coach's comparison to former BC standout Matt Ryan immediately puts a healthy amount of pressure on his shoulders. Three of the starting five offensive lineman will be returning, and there is a tremendous amount of talent waiting to step up. Taking advantage of this will be RB Mustafa Green who had an impressive true-freshman season (134 carries, 597 yards, 4 TD's). The defense will be helped by the return of CB Jarvis Byrd, who medically redshirted 2010 to rehab a torn ACL. Senior DE J.R. Sweezy is poised to wreak havoc along the line (46 tackles, 6 sacks), and will be joined by returning starter Jeff Rieskamp. The back seven is the strength of the unit with six returning starters. Audie Cole (97 tackles, 5 sacks) will lead the group from his new middle linebacker position. Juniors Earl Wolff (91 tackles, 1 INT) and Brandan Bishop (64 tackles, 4 INT's) return as the best Safety tandem in the conference.

Why they can't win the ACC: A lot, perhaps too much, is riding on Glennon's shoulders, with an unproven receiving unit. I think he will acquit himself nicely as the season wears on, but the schedule does not leave much room for breath. The Pack's last five games are against heavyweights and middleweights and the offense is just not seasoned enough to be counted on in big games quite yet.

2011-12 Prediction: 7-5, (4-4)

Maryland Terrapins
2010-11 Record: 9-4, (5-3)
Head Coach: Randy Edsall

Why they can win the ACC: The Terps enter the 2011 season as one of the most intriguing teams in the conference. After a surprising 2010, which saw the emergence of a legitimate star in Danny O'Brien, beloved (by some), portly coach Ralph 'The Fridge' Friedgen was unceremoniously let go, leading to the arrival of new head coach Randy Edsall from UConn. O'Brien cemented himself as the best QB in the ACC, winning rookie of the year honors, with a tremendous effort (2,438 yards, 22 TD's, 8 INT's) and the offensive line was able to overcome enough injury trouble to keep him relatively upright. The Terps return two very capable RB's in Davin Meggett (126 rushes, 720 yards, 4 TD's) and D.J. Adams, whose 11 TD's set a freshman record in addition to his 67 carries for 239 yards. On defense, star Kenny Tate has shifted to 'Star' linebacker and will be flanked by steady companion Demetrius Hartsfield (88 tackles). Three of the four starting defensive linemen return including anchor Joe Vellano. O'Brien has the tools to carry the team and the smarts to excel in his new system. New offensive coordinator Gary Crowton hails from LSU where his offense set school records for scoring and total offense during the Bayou Bengals 2007 National Championship run. The open, QB friendly system should help the Terps improve from pedestrian rankings in passing yards and points (65th, and 29th).

Why they can't win the ACC:  Unfortunately for the Terps, the most glaring problem facing them in 2011 is the same one they faced in 2010; the health of the offensive line. Left tackle Justin Gilbert is out until October after re-injuring his surgically repaired knee, while R.J. Dill, Pete White, and Justin Lewis are all rehabbing injuries. The line is solid if unspectacular and plays well as a unit, but any injures will be costly as there is not a lot of two deep talent. In college football, the general rule of thumb is that a healthy offensive line has ten rotational players. In 2011, the Terps will be lucky to field eight. Another area of concern is the wide receiver corps. Gone is All-American Torrey Smith (67 catches, 1,055 yards, 12 TD's), and Adrian Cannon who was an excellent safety blanket for O'Brien. Quintin McCree leads the returning candidates, with a grand total of sixteen catches. Someone from this unit will have to step up and earn O'Brien's trust if the Terps want to produce a legitimate aerial attack. On defense, much will depend on how well the front seven plays. The Terps have big shoes to fill with the departure of middle linebacker Alex Wujciak.  In the secondary, senior CB Cameron Chism is the elder statesmen of the group, which will shift to a more prevent-zone style than straight up man-to-man as has been the case in previous years. I don't expect this group to markedly improve from last year; middle of the pack in defending the pass seems about right. The schedule is more daunting for the Terps this year, with the season opener against Miami followed up by a showdown with Big East rival West Virginia, and a late season tangle with Notre Dame.

2011-12 Prediction: 8-4, (5-3)

Florida State Seminoles
2010-11 Record: 10-4, (6-2)
Head Coach: Jimbo Fisher

Why they can win the ACC: Under the direction of Dabo Swinney's folk group co-star Jimbo Fisher, the Noles enter 2011 with high expectations. Last season, the Seminoles were picked by some to unseat Virginia Tech as ACC Champs and they almost did, falling 44-33. This year, they return with the same goal, but a much larger target on their backs, probably because everyone is sick of hearing how Florida State is, once again, the big kid on the block. QB E.J. Manuel is more than seasoned after filling in for the oft injured Christian Ponder the last two seasons. Behind him, the Noles will sport a stable of high quality RB's, led by junior Chris Thompson (133 carries, 846 yards, 6 TD's). Newcomers James Wilder Jr. and Devonta Freeman will cause headaches for any defense trying to take a play off as well. The most veteran personnel on the team is the wide receiving group. While top pass catcher Bert Reed (58 catches, 614 yards, 2 TD's) is the leading receiver on paper, the most dangerous weapon in the group is 6'6 Rodney Smith. Any way you slice it, having all of your pass-catching receivers return is a luxury not very many teams in the country can sport. Much like the olden days, Florida State's most intimidating weapon will be its defensive line. This unit's depth has been an issue in past seasons, leading to the team losing some steam late in the season, but no longer. After aggressive recruiting, there are a number of positions that go five, (yes, five) deep. Anthony McCloud  and Jacobbi McDaniel  are back to anchor the interior line, and Brandon Jenkins is fresh off a 13.5 sack season. Without a doubt, however, the most skilled portion of the defense is its CB tandem. Unquestionably the best in the ACC and arguably the best in the country, Xavier Rhodes and Greg Reid look to make the jump from great to legendary status. The Safeties are the biggest question mark and the main reason for Florida State's 71st ranked pass defense last year, but former number one ranked high school Cornerback Lamarcus Joyner has made the switch to FS and could be the answer to coordinator Mark Stoops' problem.

Why they won't win the ACC: Expectation. Pressure is a team's worst enemy and there are some big time games which the Noles must win in order to prove to the rest of the college football world that they are truly back. The first is week 3 vs preseason number one Oklahoma which is a huge game for both programs. The season ending matchup vs Florida is also a must, as the Noles dominated the Gators for the first time in years last season and can't afford a hiccup in The Swamp that late in the season. The weakest link on this team is the offensive line which has been decimated by injuries. All-ACC linemen Ryan McMahon and Rodney Hudson, both four year starters, are gone. Andrew Datko and Zebrie Sanders have the potential to be the best in the ACC, but both have been hampered by injuries this spring. There is a lot of talent along the line, but much like Maryland, Florida State needs to pray that their line stays healthy the whole season.

2011-12 Prediction: 11-1, (8-0)  


And the winner is......

FLORIDA STATE upends Virginia Tech to be crowned the 2011-12 ACC Champions.

A preview of the ACC

The 2011-12 college football season may be months away, but it's never too early to start throwing out predictions about which teams will be standing and which teams will be taking an early look at the 2012 season.

We'll start our study with the ACC. Teams are listed in reverse predicted finish.

ACC Coastal Division

Duke Blue Devils
2010-11 record: 3-9, (1-7)
Head Coach: David Cutcliffe

Why they can win the ACC: Okay, okay. Maybe Duke isn't the best team to start with. Fielding a competitive football team in Durham has proven to be more difficult than a Duke student deciding which summer financial internship in NYC to choose. Coach Cutcliffe, whose claim to fame was being Peyton Manning's positional coach at Tennessee, will have his work cut out for him this season yet again. There are some bright spots, however. QB Sean Renfree is the entrenched starter, coming off a respectable 2010 campaign (3,131 passing yards, 14 TD's, 17 INT's). His interception total should decrease with the return of all three of his top targets. Standout Conner Vernon should put up monster numbers again (128 catches in two full seasons) and Donovan Varner proved to be a top flight threat (60 catches, 736 yards). Vernon and Varner's 274 combined catches are the top of any active ACC duo, and Vernon was last year's ACC YPG leader. Keep an eye on Brandon Braxton, (14 catches, 180 yards, 12.9 ypc). At 6'1, 200 lbs he's a little undersized, but in a league where solid cornerbacks are few and far between, he has the chance to blossom as a 'Z' receiver.

Why they can't win the ACC: Talent. There simply isn't enough of it to go around . The team is very top heavy at their skill positions. RB Desmond Scott had decent numbers on paper (120 rushes for 530 yards, 3 TD's) but didn't rush for more than 100 yards in a game after steam rolling Wake Forest (11 carries for 122 yards) in week 2 and was held to 42 yards or fewer in nine of his last ten games. Duke has never been renown for an offensive line, a trend which will continue in 2011, and the schedule is a gauntlet. After opening vs Richmond, the Devils will welcome Pac-12 powerhouse Stanford. Weeks 7-10 present only one winnable game (vs Wake Forest) and the last three weeks present a push (at Virginia), a trip to Atlanta to face Georgia Tech, before finishing at home vs North Carolina.

2011-12 Prediction: 3-9, (1-7)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

2010-11 Record: 6-7, (4-4)

Head Coach: Paul Johnson

Why they can win the ACC: The 2010 season was a veritable disappointment for the Yellow Jackets and the prevailing thought indicates the sense of entitlement tied to being defending ACC Champions prevented the Jackets from playing up to their potential. With the crown and its target gone, as well as an Independence Bowl loss, the Jackets look to threaten once again. Tevin Washington leads the squad, after playing behind the consistent Josh Nesbitt (674 yards, 7 TD's passing; 737 yards, 10 TD's rushing). Fifth year senior Preston Lyons leads a stocked B-back stable, which has the task of trying to replace Anthony Allen's monstrous numbers (240 carries, 1,316 yards, 7 TD's). With the motivation back, the Jackets certainly have the ability to run any team in the country into the ground (323.3 YPG, 1st nationally). The strength of the Jackets is their solid, yet thin defensive line. Jason Peters (38 tackles, 5 sacks), Izaan Cross (31.5 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and Logan Walls (12.5 tackles) all return. In their second full season in defensive coordinator Al Groh's system, they should at least have a better idea of what to do scheme-wise, and help ease the transition for all of the Jackets' new linebackers.

Why they can't win the ACC: The Jackets are undoubtedly in serious re-stocking mode in 2011. After losing their top two offensive threats in Nesbitt and Allen, Washington has a lot of pressure on his shoulders.  The WR corps is an afterthought in Coach Johnson's wishbone/flexbone-offense. Returning starter Stephen Hill (15 catches, 291 yards, 3 TD's) doesn't figure to have much more work than that, and fellow wideouts Daniel McKayhan, Tyler Melton, and Jeremy Moore round out a pretty forgettable group. The defense must replace three of its top six tacklers, and past the front three, there is a serious lack of experience at the linebacker position, along with the challenge of trying to replace all four starters in the secondary. Although the schedule is not too arduous, I think there is just too much uncertainty to take advantage of it despite a possible 3-0 start. 

2011-12 Prediction: 4-8, (1-7)

Virginia Cavaliers
2010-11 record: 4-8, (1-7)
Head Coach: Mike London

Why they can win the ACC: The 2010 Wahoos were a grand example of head scratching inconsistency. The same team that took USC to the wire in Southern California and took out Miami in Charlottesville also lost to perennial cellar-dweller Duke in a defense-optional game. The Cavs return four starting offensive linemen, which should greatly help whomever they choose as their starting QB. For the moment it seems that sophomore Michael Rocco has the inside track for the job. Fellow sophomore Ross Metheney is the only other QB on the roster who has thrown a collegiate pass. The receiving corps will be an issue as Kris Burd (58 catches, 799 yards, 5 TD's) will be the only returning starter of particular note. Tim Smith, whose 2010 season was derailed because of injury, also returns which could provide a small boost. The Cavs will once again be a run first team with two extremely capable halfbacks lining up behind the QB. Although they will sorely miss Keith Payne (160 carries, 749 yards, and a monstrous 14 TD's) scatback Perry Jones (5'8, 185) is looking to have a breakout year after posting impressive numbers behind Payne (137 rushes, 646 yards, 1 TD). Complementing him in the backfield will be Kevin Parks (5'8 195) who is more of an in between the tackles runner and figures to help the ascent of the Cavs' ground game, which under first year coordinator Bill Lazor improved from 112th in the nation to 77th last year. The Cavs will rely heavily on their defense, which has a chance to improve after one full season in Coach London's 4-3 defense. Senior DE Cam Johnson (Gonzaga College High School) will look to build upon a fantastic 2010 (54 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and should be considered one of the better DE's in the conference. CB's Chase Minnifield and Corey Mosely are probably the second best CB duo in the conference, with Minnifield snagging 6 INT's last year, good enough for second in the ACC and seventh nationally, despite being hampered by a nagging ankle injury the last four games of the season. 

Why they can't win the ACC: Simply put, they are too young at the most important position on the field. It would be tough to expect Rocco or any other QB on the roster to have a Danny O'Brien type season for the Wahoos and their RB depth is compromised should anything happen to Jones. The lack of a seasoned WR corps will hurt their ability to put points on the board and as good as their defense might be, the team is simply too one dimensional at this point. Although the schedule sets up favorably for them (a 4-1 start isn't out of the question) the backload could easily lead to a 1-4 record in their last five. 

2011-12 Prediction: 6-6, (2-6)

Miami Hurricanes

2010-11 Record: 7-6, (5-3)

Head Coach: Al Golden

Why they can win the ACC: The Hurricanes' fortunes are tied directly to one player. Jacory Harris. An up and down 2010 campaign (1,793 yards, 14 TD's, 15 INT's) stymied Miami's aspirations and eventually cost former coach Randy Shannon his job. New head coach Al Golden is tasked with inspiring the enigmatic Harris to take his game to a higher level. Harris will be protected by a monstrous offensive line, with four returning starters including Brandon Washington, arguably the best offensive lineman in the conference. Leonard Hankerson (72 catches, 1,156 yards, 13 TD's) is gone but the wide-receiver corps returns quite a bit of talent, headlined by Travis Benjamin (43 catches, 743 yards, 3 TD's, 17.3 YPC) with LaRon Byrd and Aldarius Johnson battling to establish themselves. Lamar Miller returns as the starter in the backfield and should be able to break the 1,000 yard mark after a brilliant freshman season (108 rushes, 646 yards, 6 TD's). The defense has two bookends in Adewale Ojomo and Olivier Vernon and Jo Jo Nicolas is one of the better CB's in the conference. 

Why they can't win the ACC: Jacory Harris. Although he has put up some decent numbers over course of his career, he never quite seems to live up to the pressure and there is no guarantee that he will even be the starter. Stephen Morris is the QB of the future and has an outside shot at unseating Harris. How the team responds to Golden will absolutely dictate the season. Outside of the defensive line, there are major questions, such as who will start opposite Nicolas. The Canes also have a big task in trying to replace Safeties Brandon Harris and Ryan Hill. In their six losses last year, the Canes were a minus 19 in the turnover battle, an astounding 3 per game. That will have to change if the Miami wants to improve. 

2011-12 Prediction: 8-4, (5-3) 

North Carolina Tar Heels
2010-11 Record: 8-5, (4-4)
Head Coach: Butch Davis

Why they can win the ACC:  2010 was supposed to be the breakout season for the Tar Heel football program. With All-American T.J. Yates headlining the offense and a slew of first and second round picks on defense, the Tar Heels were the trendy pick to not only win the ACC, but also had National Championship buzz. And then Twitter-gate happened. The resulting suspensions and hoopla surrounding the situation sufficiently derailed what was supposed to be UNC's march into stardom. Yates (3,418 yards, 19 TD's, 9 INT's) is now gone and the Heels turn to Byrn Renner as their starting QB. Renner is the highest ranked QB to ever sign with the Tar Heel program, so expectations and pressure will be high. Renner will certainly have some capable help surrounding him. First and foremost, the Heels return arguably the best offensive line in the conference. With 54 starts between Center Cam Holland, Guard Jonathan Cooper, and Tackle James Hurst, the Heels should be able to control the line of scrimmage on  a regular basis. Behind Renner, the Heels must replace three tailbacks who accounted for just about ninety-six percent of their ground game. Sixth year senior Ryan Houston is the only experienced holdover, but Giovani Bernard and Hunter Furr should help the depth. On the receiving end of Renner's passes will be a solid WR corps, headed by budding star Dwight Jones. Jones and Yates had great chemistry leading to a breakout 2010 season for Jones (62 catches, 946 yards, 4 TD's) which he looks to continue. Renner's other options include sleeper Erik Highsmith (25 catches, 348 yards, 3 TD's) and burner Jheranie Boyd who had a staggering 22.1 YPC last season.

Why they can't win the ACC: Unfortunately for the Heels, the same dramas that derailed last season now threaten this season. Parking ticket scandals (Former UNC wideout Greg Little racked up an astounding 93 parking tickets, and combined with seven others, the program racked up 13,000 dollars worth of parking fines), and a new Letter of Intent to investigate former associate head coach John Blake for dispensing improper benefits hover over Butch Davis. The defense has to replace a number of talented players. Although DE's Donte Paige-Moss (49 tackles, 7 sacks) and QuInton Coples (59 tackles, 10 sacks) are bookend players, 3 members of the secondary, including both safeties, who were suspended all of last year, have been cleared to play and will be counted on to replace the entire secondary. Coupled with the extra-curricular problems, it remains to be seen whether the Heels can have their defense play above expectations and need Renner to carry the offense.

2011-12 Prediction: 9-3, (5-3)

Virginia Tech Hokies
2010-11 Record: 11-3, (8-0)
Head Coach: Frank Beamer

Why they can win the ACC: Expectations are always high in Blacksburg, and this season proves no different. Last season's early loss to Boise St. proved to hamper the Hokies' National Championship aspirations; this season's schedule does not provide any marquee out of conference matchups. Logan Thomas has drawn rave comparisons this spring as a more polished version of Terrelle Pryor and more of a bulldozer than Cam Newton. He will line up behind a solid offensive line; all four starters played the entire season last year, and the Hokies have considerable depth. Blake DeChristopher headlines this group with 37 career starts. Tech's total receiving corps may be the best in the conference, spearheaded by Jarrett Boykin  (53 catches, 847 yards, 6 TD's). Danny Coale (39 catches, 732 yards, 3 TD's), and Dyrell Roberts complete a group that had nearly 2,000 yards and 11 TD's between them. David Wilson returns as the primary running back and has a chance to improve on his respectable 2010 season (113 rushes, 619 yards, 5 TD's). Tech's hallmark under Beamer has always been defense and this season should be no different. Although Bud Foster's defense dropped out of the top 15 (to a shocking 52nd) in 2010, there figures to be a rebound. Although there will be three new starters on the defensive line, the secondary is backstopped by All-American CB Jayron Hosley who led the nation in interceptions per game (9 picks in 13 games) and was fifth in passes defended. The schedule also favors the Hokies with all three major games (Clemson, Miami, and UNC) at home.

Why they can't win the ACC: Not only do the Hokies start a brand new QB, he is tasked with replacing the winningest QB in program history. A lot will be riding on Thomas' shoulders and he will need to rely heavily on his experienced line and run game to minimize his mistakes. Defense will be the key to this Hokies season, however. Bud Foster is as brilliant as they come, but with  three brand new starters on the front seven, the learning curve will be steep. James Gayle and J.R. Collins have the potential to be transformative players, but the 68 plays of 20 yards or more allowed by the defense was ranked dead last in the ACC. If the defensive line doesn't mature quickly, the schedule becomes infinitely more tricky.

2011-12 Prediction: 11-1, (7-1)