Pay for Play?

                      

There has been some big news in college football over the past month which necessitate a closer look at one of the hottest topics in the world of collegiate athletics: Should college-athletes be paid for their services to the school?

This is a very touchy subject for obvious reasons and my wish in this post is not to argue in favor of, or against one position, but rather to lay down as many of the fundamental issues to allow you, the reader/fan, to formulate a well thought opinion. After all, ultimately neither you nor I will have any say in the matter, but being appraised of all the facts never hurt anybody.

The topic of compensation for athletes has exploded recently due to the revelation that big time football stars like Terrelle Pryor received gifts for autographs and memorabilia, either monetarily or with certain perks like cars, free tattoos, etc. Couple this with the highly explosive article published on Yahoo! Sports, indicating that former ponzi-scheme broker, Nevin Shapiro (who is serving time in federal prison) provided all kinds of benefits for students at the University of Miami, particularly football players, and you can see exactly why this topic is here and here to stay.

There are many respected, knowledgeable people in the sports world such as ESPN's Jay Bilas, who argue that athletes should be compensated for their services. This is a significant discussion point for football specifically as, much like in the 'real' world, football is king. As wildly popular as college basketball and the NCAA tournament are, football is the real revenue generator behind any successful DI program and most other sports depend on the health of the football program to provide for them. Football is the cornerstone species in the collegiate sport eco-system. Coincidentally, football is often the most difficult of the sports for a school to sustain, and it is almost impossible to do so without the help of various boosters and the funds they provide/set up. The most glaring problem in the NCAA today is that there is little to no equity. Some schools have very deep pockets, some schools have a little cash to throw around, but most schools have Athletic Departments in serious debt. In 2009, only 14 of the 120 Division I football programs were in the black, down from 25 in 2008, with most universities subsidizing (read: giving) an average of ten million dollars to their athletic programs to help keep them afloat.

So the next set of answers needs to address two fundamental questions: Where does the money come from, and where does it go? AD's get their money from three main sources. More than fifty percent of the total comes from a combination of ticket sales (~20 %), alumni/booster donations (~27%), and from revenue sharing (~15%). So basically, the money comes from fans, fans with lots of money, and TV. AD's spend their money mostly on two categories, which also account for over fifty percent of the total. Salaries and benefits (~32%) and scholarships (~25%). In order the alleviate the pressure on their AD's many schools have resorted to cutting less profitable sports, many of which are women's athletics.

For a little snapshot of what these numbers looked like in 2009 (2010 data not yet available) I've provided this little chart of aggregate revenue vs expenses in the ACC, broken down into a few sports.

ACC Revenues by Sport
                                          Men's                         Women's                     Total
Basketball                          $133,479,911             $13,783,701                  $147,263,612

Football                             $250,773,784                   x                             $250,773,784

Lacrosse                            $2,819,862                 $3,116,705                    $5,936,567

Total (ALL)                         $420,234,244             $61,760,634                  $481,994,878



ACC Expenditures by Sport
                                         Men's                            Women's                       Total
Basketball                         $69,471,020                 $31,673,597                  $101,144,617

Football                             $178,200,816                     x                            $178,200,816

Lacrosse                           $4,430,138                   $4,848,133                    $9,278,271

Total (ALL)                        $311,292,639                $113,798,555                $425,091,194

To further break these numbers down, let's take a look at my Alma-Mater, the University of Maryland.

Total Revenues by Sport
                                          Men's                              Women's                         Total
Basketball                         $10,739,282                    $861,059                       $11,600,341

Football                             $11,540,368                      x                                $11,540,368

All Sports*                        $2,185,847                      $3,738,644                    $5,924,491

Grand Total**                                                                                               $51,641,771

*= not including football and basketball
**= including total revenues for men's and women's teams plus competitive cheer, this total would become $52,007,095

Total Expenditures by Sport
                                         Men's                                Women's                         Total
Basketball                        $5,160,381                        $2,158,656                    $7,319,037

Football                           $9,863,748                                 x                           $9,863,748

All Sports*                       $5,399,723                       $7,502,775                      $12,902,498

Grand Total**                                                                                                 $51,418,347

*= not including football and basketball
**= including total expenses for men's and women's teams plus competitive cheer, this total would become $52,007,095


Depending on the baseline you use, the Terps AD made $0 or $223,424. Either way, not a whole lot of money. Compare this to the University of Texas, whose football team generated almost ninety-four million dollars. After subtracting football expenses and adding/subtracting all similar costs to Maryland (including their women's programs which lost the school eleven million dollars), the AD at Texas generated $29,603,034 in profit. Let that sink in for a bit.

So why were all those charts and numbers important? Simple. Based on the numbers, it's apparent that a Cam Newton or a Landry Jones are basically twenty-million dollar assets walking around campus. Your John Walls and Derrick Williams are somewhere in the 5-7 million dollar range. There's no denying that athletes in the two major sports are mega money producers for the school, yet they aren't allowed by the NCAA to profit from any of the revenue associated with them. If you take the average investment of an institution ($76,000) for an athlete, and an 85 man limit on football scholarships, one Landry Jones pays for three times the number of players on the team. The problem is, most schools don't have a Landry Jones. As noted earlier one of the fiercest proponents of the pay-for-play system is Jay Bilas. He has a very simple and fundamentally sound argument about why athletes should get paid. Bilas argues that the NCAA is artificially suppressing the market (which is true) and denies athletes the ability to capitalize on their talents the way schools allow other students to do (also true). A music student on full scholarship can go play at any event he or she wants and is allowed to keep any money they get as a result of their performance. A student on a merit-based full scholarship is allowed to reap the benefits of his or her talent in the everyday marketplace for whatever a company is willing to pay them as well.

The question now becomes, who pays them? As you can extrapolate from the data, it would be highly impractical for most AD's to pay their athletes. They simply don't have the money. The answer then becomes individuals. If a fan wants to pay John Brantley $2,000 for an autographed jersey, why should we stop that? If a local car dealership wants to hand the keys of a $50,000 automobile to Marcus Lattimore, have at it. Opponents of this notion point to a question of fairness. The star quarterback is going to make 20x more than an offensive lineman. The offensive lineman will make 100x more than the water-polo player. Proponents accurately note that fairness is subjective. The realization is that, quite frankly, the quarterback, intrinsically, is worth 'more' to the school than the water polo player, and it's because of the quarterback that water-polo even exists. They also note that the BCS system itself is skewed: In 2011, of the $174 million generated by five bowl games, almost 85% was split between six major conferences. As vociferous backer of this play-for-play system, Mike Wilbon, points out, "That's right. Football and men's basketball players get paid; lacrosse, field hockey, softball (etc.) players get nothing. You know what that's called? Capitalism. Not everything is equal, not everything is fair." Point taken. Mr. Wilbon also goes on to comment that the inability to distribute funds equally is "an excuse, a rather intellectually lazy one at that." While on the surface that may be true, Mr. Wilbon seems to have forgotten that what he deems 'intellectually lazy,' happens to fall right under the pesky clause of Title IX in the Civil Rights Act. Although you mainly hear Title IX applied in the context of women's sports, it is a guarantee that "no person shall be excluded from participation in...or subjected to discrimination under any education program or activity receiving Federal financial assistance." It is certainly conceivable that a rather substantial discrimination argument could be formed underneath the shield of Title IX and since every single state school receives at least one dollar in Federal assistance, and athletics fall under 'activities,' there is no conceivable way that a non-private school could shake a ruling in favor of Title IX.

Another argument for paying athletes is that, as most of them do undoubtedly come from low income areas, they need the extra money. Rather than depending on agents or other nefarious characters to supply them with money, this would legitimize them to take advantage of their skills and earn them extra money. The counter argument is, do they really need it? Proponents note that full scholarships pale in comparison to the amount of money star athletes make. But in reality, football players as a whole get way more value for their scholarships than a regular student. For example, most football players receive a combination Pell grants, clothing funds, etc for a value of $17,000 per year. Furthermore, according to reports published by SEC Commissioner, Mike Slive, while an in-state (non football) student at the University of Arkansas gets about $50,000 worth of scholarship over a five year span, an in-state football player would receive $135,000. For out of state students, that number increases to $193,000. Not equal to millions, but more than the average student.

The biggest objection to paying student athletes is equity among institutions. There is already a huge gap among the haves and have-nots in college football, and opening outside money influence will absolutely skew the funnel toward schools that have the financial backing. It's no secret that many of the best programs already have "un-sanctioned" methods for attracting top talent to their universities, all this does is take the stigma away from it. How are smaller teams like Maryland, Boise St., Northwestern, etc. supposed to compete with Texas, Fla St., and Ohio State? If a school can barely keep its AD afloat with a marginal football team, how is it supposed to compete if the best teams it competes against get that much better?

There is no doubt that the NCAA keeps its biggest revenue producers from getting a slice of the pie. The problem is if the pie is really worth the headache. You decide.

Realignment and Redaction

                                 

Well, it seems as if the slightly deranged Governor of Texas, Yosemite Sam Rick Perry reached an epiphany during his monster weekend prayer meeting: He's taking a break from destroying the state of Texas to champion his Alma mater, Texas A&M, moving to the SEC. While part of me is ecstatic that this could rekindle the push for realignment to super-conferences, my worry is this move will snowball with other programs in A&M's position. I simply don't understand the reasons behind it. Moving to the SEC is near suicide for a program which, despite playing the likes of Kansas, Baylor, and Iowa State, is a whole three games over .500 the past nine years. Even if they move in to the SEC East, the only team they regularly beat is perennial doormat, Vanderbilt. One of the best parts of college football is the rivalries, and the biggest part of those rivalries is geography. By trying to escape from under the shadow of Texas, the Aggies are going to pull the rug out from one of the best rivalries in the game, even if it has been one sided recently. Although the Aggies have a natural rivalry with Arkansas and LSU, and while I'm sure the SEC is licking its chops at the thought of opening the state of Texas to outside recruiting, I can't imagine the SEC TV dollars that A&M will gain can offset the misery of going 4-8, every year.

In order for this to go through, I imagine the deal would have to include Texas moving to the Big 10 (opening a GIANT revenue stream for the 'horns); as soon as Texas leaves, say goodbye to Oklahoma and, by proxy, the Big 12. Oddly enough, there are exactly two institutions that are ultimately helped by this move, at least short term, neither of which are Texas A&M...the SEC and Texas. Short term, this move may benefit the Aggies in one way; namely, their fans (as well as Texas Tech/Baylor fans) won't be paying millions of dollars in subscriber fees to the Longhorn Network, most of which would end up in the pockets of UT.

On the other hand, A&M moving into a better football conference will also ensure that they spend a lot of their extra revenue updating their facilities, improving their recruiting, and rededicating their overall commitment to winning football games. Right now, they're in a pretty comfy position of beating inferior teams every year, while not being expected to realistically compete against Big Brother. They'll probably get smoked their first couple of years, and have to be careful they don't lose what little momentum they have started gaining in the Big 12. It's tough to stomach one of the best rivalries in college football getting thrown out the window for the sake of conference expansion, but nobody said sacrifice would be easy. Make no mistake, the driving force behind this move is UT's greediness and they seem hell bent on making sure they maximize their profit no matter the expense to the sport.

In related news: I still hate everything about Texas. With a passion.

In actual news: Arkansas' star running back, Knile Davis, fractured his left ankle in practice and will miss the entire season after undergoing surgery. This is a HUGE loss for Arkansas and will undoubtedly cost them some games and, by extension, a shot at the SEC title game. Juniors Dennis Johnson and Ryan Wingo are now tasked with picking up the slack. Not the way the Hogs were hoping to start their 2011 campaign.

                                

So long, Butch

The UNC Tarheels took the final step in a saga that, quite frankly, should have ended months ago, terminating Butch Davis' contract as the head football coach in Chapel Hill. The program was under fire for a slew of scandals, ranging from monetary links between a former associate head coach and an agent, to violations of academic integrity aided by a former personal employee of Davis, to an extravagant parking ticket payoff, and finally took the steps to redeem itself. While the firing's timing is rather suspect, the season starts in only a few months, this hopefully signals the start of a new era of transparency in college football. To his credit, Davis accepted full responsibility for all the transgressions, unlike his counterpart, Jim Tressel, whose "I wasn't aware" defense, didn't save his job.

Curiously, this turn in regulation can be traced back almost exclusively to Reggie Bush-gate. Think about it. Before the whole mess with Bush relating to agent payments, which ultimately ended up retroactively costing Bush the Heisman, USC their National Championship, and Pete Carroll his job if he hadn't run away moved on to the NFL, how much was anybody really paying attention to the seedy underside of college football? USC wasn't the first team to violate NCAA rules, but it was the first marquee program to come under that much scrutiny since, I would argue, the infamous Death Penalty case which virtually destroyed SMU's once mighty program. In a larger sense, I hope this also serves as a wake up call for coaches in all sports who engage in, aid, or otherwise turn a blind eye to violations of the rules. For too long, head football and basketball coaches were the real power brokers on campus. When Ohio State's E. Gordon Gee proclaimed a few months prior to terminating Tressel that he hoped the coach "[wouldn't] fire [him]," it was an accurate portrayal of exactly how untouchable coaches thought they were. What most athletic departments, coaches, and staff are slowly starting to realize is that a fan's ultimate allegiance is due to their affection for the name on the front of the jersey, not on the back, or the one attached to it. I support Randy Edsall and Danny O'Brien because they represent the University of Maryland; I don't support the University of Maryland because of Randy Edsall or Danny O'Brien. Similarly, fans in Columbus, Chapel Hill, or LA support the programs because of their love for the universities, not because they are in love with the players or coaches. They may root for them, they may love them while they are wearing the university colors but it only lasts for so long. Are fans in Austin still in Will Muschamp's corner? Probably not. Nick Saban may have a statue of himself in Tuscaloosa, but when the next great Alabama coach comes along, nobody will be actively pining for him. Allowing players and coaches free reign tarnished the reputation of the universities that a lot of people invested vast amounts of time, money, and energy to build.

So what now? Unlike Tressel, I don't think Davis is untouchable. Tressel's toughest hurdle to overcome is the fact he actively lied to investigators about his involvement in the various transgressions in the program; Davis, as noted, fully cooperated with, and accepted responsibility for things that happened under his watch. He's one heck of a recruiter who revitalized Miami's program, and was on the verge of transforming UNC into a powerhouse before various scandals sunk the program. It may be a few years before he's considered for a head coaching job, and I wouldn't put a stint as a coordinator in the NFL out of the question, but there's no doubt Davis will coach a major D-I program again. UNC's situation is a little different. Firing Davis this late into the spring leaves them with no chance of signing a marquee head coach before the season, meaning they will most likely promote in house on an interim basis. After the season, which is now in even more jeopardy than it previously was, UNC has a few recruiting classes which make it a very attractive job for the right candidate who can further the haul of top recruits Davis was starting to attract.

Here's my way too early list of coaches who could end up with the Heels:

Bud Foster: VATech fans are going to hate me for putting his name on the list, but he won't stay in Blacksburg forever (unless Beamer retires any time soon). How the Hokies have kept him on the staff this long is a mystery as they consistently field one of the best defenses in the country. This move makes a lot of sense for both UNC and Foster. UNC's stated goal under Butch Davis was challenging Tech's ACC supremacy (which they never quite achieved), and if Foster stays, he'll be in a familiar conference, with equally familiar recruiting territory. Furthermore, Foster is the epitome of straight-edge and would be exactly the kind of image rebuilder that Chapel Hill needs.

Mark Richt: This could very well be Richt's last season in Athens if the Dawgs underperform yet again. He's an attractive choice due to his experience recruiting the fertile southern area and could benefit from moving to an easier conference.

Houston Nutt: The luster has faded somewhat from Nutt. He's struggled to put together a team like he had with Darren McFadden and Felix Jones. That being said, the lackluster Ole Miss program has improved in certain areas, and UNC has a good base of talent that could very easily fit into Nutt's run-heavy system.

Greg Schiano: Much like Nutt, Schiano has some work to do if he wants to avoid dropping off the map. Just a few seasons ago, Schiano was the hottest name on the coaching block, but his past few campaigns in Rutgers have cast some doubt on his viability, going 13-12 overall and just 4-10 in conference.

My Bizzaro World coaching options (these could happen and make me look like a genius, but I'm not going to hold my breath.)

Ralph Friedgen or Bobby Bowden: Hear me out. Both of these guys were unceremoniously dumped by their respective programs. One (Fridge) had turned his program from an afterthought into a fairly competitive team and was coming off one of his best seasons ever. The other (Bowden) was Florida State football for the better part of three decades and the second winningest coach in college football history. While both of them are fairly up there in age, if Joe Paterno can still be "coaching" with one foot in a retirement home, if these guys really wanted to stick it to their old programs, UNC would give them a great opportunity to do so.

Rick Neuheisel: By all accounts, he massively underestimated exactly how large of a rebuilding program UCLA was and unless he beats USC in a down year, he's out of a job. A hallmark of UCLA's teams the past few years is that they have been really good at pretty much no singular facet of the game and mediocre at everything. I think UNC has too much talent to have a coach who might waste it, but college football coaches have a peculiar knack for holding on and finding jobs they probably don't deserve, so who knows.

Around the Nation, Part 5: SEC West

SEC West

Continuing our preview with, arguably, the toughest division in football.

Alabama Crimson Tide
2010-11 Record: 10-3, (5-3)
Head Coach: Nick Saban

Its been one giant party down in Tuscaloosa since Nick Saban came to town. The Tide won the National Championship in 2009-10, Saban got himself a statue, and the boys down in 'Bama were eyeing another SEC Title...until they blew a 21-0 first quarter lead and found themselves on the wrong end of a 28-27 loss to eventual National Champs, Auburn. After stomping feel-good team of the year, Michigan State, in their bowl game, the Tide look to rebound in 2011.

The biggest question on last year's team was all the new bodies on defense, but after a surprisingly good showing, this year's concern will be the offense, which must replace three NFL skill players including once in a generation talent, Julio Jones. Sophomore A.J. McCarron is the penciled in starter, but mega talented Phillip Sims is right on his heels. Sims, the most naturally gifted Alabama signal caller ever, is the more versatile of the two, but both will have a task in replacing the highly efficient Greg McElroy. Under his direction, Bama was one of the most deadly offenses in the nation, racking up a staggering 24-0 record since mid 2007 when scoring 30 or more points. Last year's backfield finished 5th in the SEC; a disappointment considering the presence of a Heisman winner/first round pick Mark Ingram, and future first round pick, Trent Richardson, splitting time. All the buzz around Richardson is legitimate. A freakish athlete at 5'11, 244 lbs with lightning speed, he averaged 6.2 YPC while racking up 700 yards, as well as a whopping 26.4 yards per kickoff return. The only knock on Richardson is durability as he's carried the ball more than 15 times only twice in his career. If he doesn't get nicked up, mark him down as Bama's second Heisman winner in three years. Backing up Richardson, sophomore Eddie Lacy enters 2011 with Trent Richardson 2010 buzz surrounding him. Losing Julio Jones is a huge blow, but Seniors Marquis Maze (38 catches, 557 yards, 3 TD's) and Darius Hanks (32 catches, 456 yards, 3 TD's) have the talent to be very dangerous. Keep an eye on Ohio St. transfer Duron Carter, son of future NFL Hall of Fame WR Cris Carter. If he can get his academics in order, he's basically a bigger, slower Jones. The offensive line was average last year finishing 10th in the SEC in sacks allowed, despite being helped out tremendously by the acumen of McElroy, but they should be much better this year. Anchoring the line will be William Vlachos, and sophomore RT D.J. Fluker will be a star. With all the returning experience, this line should finally be one of the best in the country.

The 2010 Tide defense returned only three starters from a unit that finished second overall in 2009 yet still ranked fifth in the country and third in scoring. The defensive line will be nasty sporting two 310 lb plus tackles in Jesse Williams and Josh Chapman. Even though he is better suited for the pro-game than the college game, losing Marcel Dareus will hurt, and although they won't be as good as the National Championship line, they will still be the best in the SEC. The linebackers are led by future first round pick Dont'a Hightower who came back with a vengeance after suffering a knee injury in '09. C.J. Mosley takes over for Hightower's vacated WILL position, and the JACK will be manned by talented star Courtney Upshaw who will likely finish All-America. The range of the unit is second to none, although outside of Upshaw, there is no true pass rusher. All together, this is a top three linebacking unit. If LSU wasn't my pick to have the best secondary in the SEC, Alabama would. The unit finished sixth in passing efficiency, despite losing 3 starters to the NFL the previous year. Senior DeQuan Menzie is a phenomenal athlete at corner, and Ha'Sean Clinton-Dix could easily become the best safety in the nation. The overall talent of this unit is undeniable and staggering. I could envision no fewer than six members of this secondary spending time in the NFL in the coming years. The consistency should shore up and the unit won't give up as many big plays at inopportune moments. With only one true mega-test against LSU in Death Valley, look for the Tide to compete for the SEC title once again.

2011-12 Prediction: 11-1, (7-1)


LSU Tigers

2010-11 Record: 11-2, (6-2)

Head Coach: Les Miles

Things are different down in the Bayou. Les Miles is either a genius or an idiot savant, and I couldn't tell you which if you paid me. After some hair brained calls, close wins, and some rather interesting quotes, the Tigers ended up as one of the best teams in the country, but not quite as good as Auburn. In 2011, they have all the makings for a championship-caliber squad; the question is whether they'll put everything together and overcome a brutal schedule to hoist the SEC banner.

The offense is mega-talented but suspect at the quarterback position. Senior Jordan Jefferson had an astonishingly poor 2010 (1,411 yards, 7 TD's, 10 INT's) and many doubted his starting pedigree coming into spring. But by all accounts, he has played lights out; if he falters, however, the calls to start transfer JUCO  phenom/ex-Georgia Bulldog, Zach Mettenberger, will echo loudly. The wide receiver corps will once again be stocked with talent, but will have to break out of a troubling trend of severely under-performing. Spearheading the unit will be 6'4, 210 lb Rueben Randle; although he put up average numbers in his first full season as a starter (33 catches, 544 yards, 3 TD's), he was named a second team preseason All-SEC selection. Opposite Randle, freak phenom Russell Shepard looks poised to have a break out season (if he isn't suspended for violating NCAA rules) after learning the position from scratch and being undervalued by previous coordinator Gary Crowton. The key to the Tigers' offense will be Senior TE DeAngelo Peterson; his unique size and speed on a 6'4 245 lb frame will provide Jefferson a valuable safety blanket given the relative youth in the backfield. Speaking of the running backs, what the group lacks in experience, they more than make up for with talent and depth. Stevan Ridley (225 carries, 1,042 yards, 14 TD's) left Death Valley early, but after a breakout Cotton Bowl (10 carries, 102 yards) sophomore Spencer Ware, looks to pick up right were Ridley left off. Pushing Ware for playing time will be redshirt sophomore Michael Ford and speedy redshirt freshman Jakhari Gore. Paving the way for the backs will be undoubtedly the deepest line in the SEC and possibly the country. The Bayou Bengals return a whopping nine out of ten starters almost all of whom are redshirts with playing experience. The only weakness is left tackle where incumbent first time starter Chris Faulk will be pushed mightily by superstar recruit La'el Collins.

In a complete reversal of roles, the offense will be counted on to bail out the defense in 2011. LSU would like to replicate last season's 12th ranked output and has the talent to do so, but a few obstacles remain. The squad must replace an All-American at all three levels as NT Drake Nevis, MLB Kelvin Sheppard, and the best player in college football, Patrick Peterson, are gone. The defensive line has only one returning starter, but will be absolutely loaded with talent, depth, and raw speed. Redshirt sophomore Barkevious Mingo possesses the talent to be All-SEC and true freshman NT Anthony "Freak" Johnson will be menace. Linebacker will be the most fragile layer. The backers are all super fast and will catch anybody sideline-to-sideline, but all that speed comes at a cost. The lack of size, coupled with the lack of experience and depth will make this a textbook example of a feast-or-famine corps. Behind the backers, despite the loss of Peterson, the Tigers have the makings for the best secondary in the SEC. Sophomore sensation Tyrann Mathieu is a shutdown corner and led the SEC in forced fumbles despite playing off the bench. Opposite Mathieu, Junior Morris Claiborne could be your next Thorpe award winner, and given the depth and speed the rest of the secondary can put on the field in a hurry, don't be surprised if the Tigers employ a heavy dose of the 4-2-5. My worry for the Tigers is their unforgiving schedule. The season opener vs Oregon in Death Valley will set the tone for , as LSU also faces a tricky Mississippi State team on the road, in addition to Auburn, Alabama, and Arkansas.

2011-12 Prediction: 10-2, (6-2)

Arkansas Razorbacks
2010-11 Record: 10-3, (6-2)
Head Coach: Bobby Petrino

As much as I detest Bobby Petrino, he has turned the Razorback program into a sleeping giant. Despite a fantastic 2010, in which the only three losses were to Alabama, Auburn, and Ohio St., the Hogs are once again flying under the radar in the SEC. Make no mistake, readers. This team is going to make a lot of noise in 2011.

Normally, losing a QB like Ryan Mallet would cripple a program. After all, heaving for 3,669 yards and 32 TD's behind a suspect offensive line is something that most teams would die for any given year. Junior Tyler Wilson doesn't have the size or arm strength of Mallet, but is more mobile and actually a better fit for the system. Expect a drop off, but the rest of the skill players have the talent to make the offense scary good. The strength of this team will be the backfield which is unquestionably the deepest and most talented in the country. Kniles Davis came out of nowhere to put up huge numbers during the second half of the season. Over his final seven games, the 230 lb bruiser ran for more than seven hundred yards, failing to reach the century mark in only one game; a yawner vs Vandy, when he was given most of the night off. He also punched in 12 of his 13 scores over that time span. If he's not on the short list for the Doak Walker this year already, he will be. Juniors Ronnie Wingo Jr. and Dennis Johnson are starters on any other team in the nation and that fearsome depth will come in handy. I thought the Hogs had the best receiving group in the nation last year, and I believe the same this year. Senior Greg Childs (46 catches, 659 yards, 6 TD's) was on his way to a special season until he got injured and missed the final five games. Fellow senior Jarius Wright (42 catches, 788 yards, 5 TD's) can outrun almost any secondary in the country. The sleeper of this group is TE Chris Gragg. After backing up Mackey Award winner D.J. Williams last year, Gragg has all the makings to be the next best TE in the country. The only weakness of this unit is a curious case of the drops. If the receivers wear some stickum last season, they don't lose to Ohio St in their bowl game. The offensive line wasn't great last year, surrendering 28 sacks, and must replace three starters. They won't be lacking size. All the projected starters are around 6'4 and between 305 and 315 lbs and all of them can move...in that special offensive lineman connotation of the word. They won't have to be spectacular and Arkansas has a recent history of getting good production out of young line players but given the amount of talent on their side of the ball, any early struggles will unfairly probably be blamed on them.

Defense had been a sore spot for the Hogs until last year when they escaped their two year stint at the bottom of the SEC rankings. The line should have the best group of pass rushers in the West, headlined by Jake Bequette (32 tackles, 7 sacks). There will also finally be ample size on the inside between 307 lb junior DeQuinta Jones, and 312 lb sophomore Byran Jones. In 2009, Arkansas allowed 153 YPG on the ground and then promptly took a step back in 2010, surrendering 162 YPG and a whopping 21 TD's, including 8 over the final three games. MLB Jerry Franklin (100 tackles, 6.5 sacks) is the star of the defense, and the converted safety should put up an impressive season for the third straight time. My favorite player on the defense, WILL Jerico Nelson (87 tackles, 2.5 sacks), is an undersized linebacker-safety hybrid who plays with a no-quit motor. Much like Kniles Davis, the secondary came out of nowhere in a hurry to be spectacular last season, given that most teams were bombing away to try and keep up with the Razorback offense. Safety Tramain Thomas (83 tackles, 4 INT's, 4 FF's) will be counted on to help shore up the run defense. The rest of the defensive backs all have good size and speed and should control most of the receivers they face. Tackling won't be an issue, but I still expect a few big plays to be surrendered. The schedule is pretty stacked, and won't be helped by back-to-back games at Alabama and against Texas A&M on a neutral field.

2011-12 Prediction: 9-3, (5-3)


Mississippi State Bulldogs
2010-11 Record: 9-4, (4-4)

Head Coach: Dan Mullen

Dan Mullen is slowly turning the Bulldogs into more than just an afterthought. The problem is that the rest of the SEC West doesn't want to help out. The last time MSU played a Bowl game in 1998, the other five West teams ranged from miserable (Auburn) to slightly above average (Arkansas). Since then, those same 5 teams, with the exception of Ole Miss, have consistently improved to the upper echelon of the nation. The Bulldogs potent spread attack will keep them in almost every game, and the defense will hold its own, but whether that's enough to win the division title remains to be seen.

The offense has improved considerably over the last three years, landing in the top 50 in both total offense and scoring in 2010. Quarterback Chris Relf is on the cusp of a monster season after rounding into his own last year (1,789 yards, 13 TD's, 6 INT's / 713 yards, 5 TD's rushing) and the 6'4, 240 lb senior should blossom into a poor man's Cam Newton. Keep an eye on sophomore Tyler Russell, who is the best pro-style passer the Dogs have possessed in a very, very long time. Either one will have to produce much more against better opponents if the Bulldogs want a shot at the title. The ground game was the catalyst for Mullen's spread, ranking number two in the SEC and 16th overall thanks to Relf and RB Vick Ballard's 968 yards and 19 scores. With Relf looking to be more of a passer, look for the senior and sophomore LaDarius Perkins to be lethal once again. The receivers will be solid, but unspectacular since they don't play in a pass-friendly system. Junior Chad Bumphis (44 catches, 634 yards, 5 TD's) can fly, as his 14.4 YPC shows. On the flip side, a broken clavicle kept him out of the Gator Bowl and he moderately to severely injured his ankle in the spring. Keeping him in one piece is key. Much like Auburn, Mississippi State's biggest strength will be experience within the system; juniors Arceto Clark, Brandon Heavens, and Chris Smith all have great size and know what they're doing. The offensive line will be an experienced group. Senior RT Addison Smith and junior RG Tobias Smith will be bulldozers for the ground game and sophomore Gabe Jackson is an emerging start at LG. LT is the main question after the departure of first round pick, Derek Sherrod.

Despite the lack of a pass rush and a secondary that routinely gave up more than 200 yards a game, the Bulldogs still managed to finish 21st in the nation in scoring defense and was phenomenal against the run. Junior DT's Fletcher Cox (29 tackles, 2.5 sacks) and Josh Boyd (24 tackles, 2.5 sacks) will be counted on to free up the ends to produce more pressure. 6'5, 245 lb junior Trevor Stigers could be the answer MSU has been searching for. The rangy end did not register a sack last year, but showed marked improvement over the last half of the season as he grew into the position. Things will have to improve to take pressure off the back seven, which accounted for greater than half the team's total sacks last year. The linebacking unit lit up every opponent last year, but loses all three linebackers coming into 2011. Senior Brandon Wilson is a tough, physical force who won't make a lot of mistakes, but keep an eye on Brandon Maye, a three year starter at Clemson who transferred after losing playing time due to a lack of production. That could be a great motivating chip for someone who produced 103 tackles in 2009. The Bulldogs have lots of options at all the linebacking positions, even if it's not a super talented group. The problem with having a phenomenal run defense like MSU had in 2010 is that teams were content to air it out and put a lot of pressure on the secondary. That resulted in the defense allowing 200 plus yards through the air over their last ten games in a row. All four starters return, but without a little help from the front seven, they'll be in trouble again. Senior SS Charles Mitchell had 93 tackles last season while junior Corey Broomfield (52 tackles, 1 sack, 3 INT's) will definitely hold his own against most SEC receivers. Talent and experience abound in the back four, but even if the unit plays close to perfect, without help, it'll more of the same for the defense. 

2011-12 Prediction: 8-4, (4-4)

Auburn Tigers

2010-11 Record: 14-0, (8-0)
Head Coach: Gene Chizik

14-0. SEC Title. The best singular season by a quarterback in college football history. National Championship. If anybody reading this tells me they envisioned any of the previous phrases being associated with the Tigers at the beginning or even halfway through the 2010 season, I'd call them a big fat liar. The question for strong chinned Gene Chizik and the Tigers is, what now?

After losing a glut of talent on both sides of the ball, the Tigers might be the only defending champion ever who can honestly play with the 'nobody believes in us...again' chip on their shoulders. Guz Malzahn is still there and there's a lot of talent on the shelves. But you only get a player like Cam Newton once in a lifetime, and Cinderellas don't last long in the SEC. Tasked with the impossible is junior, Barrett Trotter, who has the tools to be decent. He's more adept at the timing routes that Malzahn prefers, but what remains to be seen is whether the expectations cripple him more than opposing defenses. Don't overlook true freshman QB Kiehl Frazier who will definitely get playing time. The strength of the unit will be the returning running back duo of Mike Dyer and Onterio McCalebb. Dyer (150 carries, 950 yards, 5 TD's) should see much more of the load now that Newton is gone, and actually had a better YPC than Cam (by 3.6 inches per carry, but still). At 5'9, 206 lbs, the true sophomore is thick enough to handle the beating that comes with the responsibility, but quick enough to make defenses pay for over pursuit. Behind him, junior McCalebb, should once again be the best home run threat in the conference after rushing for 810 yards and 9 TD's on a paltry 95 carries (8.5 YPC). After putting up a convincingly underwhelming 2010 campaign, the receiving corps looks to be in big trouble after losing five starters, including underclassmen Antonio Goodwin and Shaun Kitchens who were dismissed from the team after being arrested on armed robbery charges. Newton is no longer there to bail them out so redshirt freshman Travon Reed will need to immediately contribute across from junior Emory Blake (32 catches, 526 yards, 8 TD's). TE Philip Litzenkirchen may be the most athletically gifted TE in the country and now is the time to prove it. Working in the corps' favor is their experience within Malzahn's intricate system, but the lack of depth will be troublesome and could be costly should the injury bug strike. The offensive line is in total rebuilding mode, with four new starters, and if the Tigers can gel, they have the talent to be a very good unit.

The Tigers defense was a tale of two units, playing the run with an unbridled ferocity, and rarely defending the pass. Losing eight starters including all-world Nick Fairley puts a lot of pressure on the highly talented recruiting class. Sophomore DE Nosa Equae is the likely star after a decent 2010 (22 tackles, 3.5 sacks), but there is a severe lack of experience behind him. What they lack in seasoning, however, they will likely make up for with talent. Linebacker is another thin group as the group that kept Oregon's potent ground game in check is largely gone. Senior Eltoro Freeman needs to shed his inconsistency and take his game to the next level if he is to hold juniors Daren Bates, Jonathan Evans, and sophomore Jake Holland together. Speed is the strength of this unit, but youth will lead to costly mistakes. The secondary must also completely overhaul but this might actually be beneficial. Last year's group was dead last in the SEC and 108th in yards allowed. Senior Neko Thorpe is shifting from corner to safety and is the only returning starter. Junior T'Sharvan Bell is the best athlete on the team, and as a full time starter, will put up better numbers than the 38 tackles and 1 INT he produced as a nickel-back last season. While the secondary is more talented than last year, it likely won't have the saving grace of being as opportunistic thanks to a lack of experience. Youth, inexperience, and a tough schedule ensure the Tigers won't be hoisting the crystal ball again this year.

2011-12 Prediction: 6-6, (3-5)  

Ole Miss Rebels
2010-11 Record: 4-8, (1-7)
Head Coach: Houston Nutt

Since the departure of Eli Manning, things have not gone according to plan down in Oxford. The Rebs have gone 5-22 against Auburn, LSU, and Alabama since 2001, 1-3 against Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl over the last three years, and 2-8 overall in the division the past two seasons. If Houston Nutt wants to keep his keyster off the hot seat, the Rebs must win against the big boys in the West, and start doing so fast.

One man's trash is another man's treasure or so the saying goes. The same seems true for the Ole Miss Quarterback situation the past few years. From Jevan Snead to Jeremiah Masoli, the Rebs have relied on castoffs from other programs, and this year may be more of the same. Randall Mackey is a mobile, accurate tosser but lacks size at only 6'0, 190 lbs. Sophomore transfer from WVU Barry Brunetti is only slightly bigger at 213 lbs, but has a live arm and tremendous upside to compete alongside Zach Stoudt, the biggest of the three at 6'4, 222 lbs. All three have a lot of talent and upside; the coaching staff has to pleased with the options available to them, but needs to figure out who gives them the best chance to win. Helping out will be senior RB Brandon Bolden, the team's leading returning passer. He was the offense last year, tallying 976 yards and 14 scores on the ground, to complement 32 catches for 344 yards and 3 TD's which makes him the leading returning rusher and receiver as well. He was a tad inconsistent, but the 211 lb speedster can easily put together a Doak Walker trophy candidate with some help from the QB's this year. Keep an eye on sophomore Jeff Scott, who finished a strong freshman year with 429 yards and 3 scores including a 134 yard effort against Auburn. The receivers are very fast, but inexperienced and have to gel together quickly to try and prevent teams from stacking the box to stop the run. Junior Melvin Harris (30 passes, 408 yards, 3 TD's) needs to have more than just another steady season; at 6'6, 210 lbs, he's a matchup nightmare. Redshirt freshman Vincent Sanders has the talent to be a major instant contributor and Oregon State transfer, TE Jamal Mosley is a precise route runner with exceptional hands who could be deadly in the red-zone. As a whole the unit is blessed with tremendous speed from top to bottom, but they have to produce more big plays. The offensive line is going to be absolutely special again after allowing a paltry 14 sacks last year. When the smallest member of your line is 6'3, 312 lbs, you know you're going to push people around. At LT, 6'7, 315 lb senior Bradley Sowell is the anchor. He's a terrific pass blocker and is athletic enough to help pave huge holes on the ground. Next to him is the absolutely massive senior LG Alex Washington. At 6'4, 356 lbs, he struggles a bit in pass protection, but is great in a phonebooth. The only knock on this group is if their size will cause problems for a typical drop back QB. Given its history, however, this may very well be the second best group of hogs behind Kentucky's.

The 2010 season opening loss to Jacksonville State rightfully raised some red flags early, and the defense didn't fail to disappoint, putting together a decisively mediocre season. The line was the lone bright spot, finishing 20th in the country in sacks and tackles for loss but the rest of the defense didn't have much by way of takeaways or stopping big plays. A lot will be riding on senior DE Kentrell Lockett who is coming off a torn ACL which submarined his 2010 season. If he's healthy, he's one of the better pass rushers in the SEC, but that's asking a lot less than year after his injury. Juniors Gerald Rivers (14 tackles, 2.5 sacks) and Jason Jones (17 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 2 fumble recoveries) are primed to have great seasons and need to make good on their talent. The linebackers were awful at getting into the backfield last season but solid pass rushers and this year might be the more of the same. Junior D.T. Shackelford was looking for a breakout season before hurting his knee in spring ball. In his absence, sophomore Mike Marry will be counted on the fill the void. With superb range and a solid frame at 6'2, 248 lbs, he will shine as a MLB. The rest of the linebackers all have decent to above average pass-rushing skills but give up the ability to stop the run and that will pose problems in a running back oriented conference. The secondary was an absolute train-wreck, giving up 24 TD's and surrendering 250 or more passing yards seven times. Senior CB Marcus Temple is a solid tackler, but had zero INT's last year. Sophomore Charles Sawyer starts opposite him, and should blossom into the best defensive back on the team now that he will play every defensive down. The safeties are experienced, but as a whole, the backs must provide more than six INT's in order to help the defense get off the field. All in all, this looks like another long year for the Rebels and Nutt could find himself looking for a new job at the end of the season.

2011-12 Prediction: 4-8, (1-7)

Around the Nation, Part 4: SEC East

SEC East

Ask any person who 1) lives in a state with at least one SEC school, 2) is a fan of SEC football, or 3) went to an SEC school, and they will tell you in no uncertain terms that the SEC is unequivocally the best football conference in the land today (and possibly ever). This in turn leads to the manifestation of an inferiority complex in other conferences, especially the Big 10 (aka Ohio State), and dictates their yearly goal of beating the SEC; coincidentally, this conveniently feeds into the SEC's superiority complex. Is this chest-puffing justified? I'm not sure. Six of the last ten National Champions hail from the South, including the last five in a row. Granted, two of those victories were against Ohio State which could mean only one of two things: a) the SEC is better than the Big 10 or b) Ohio State was severely overrated. I vote 'b'. Since 2000, however, the former PAC-10 is 12-10 vs the SEC. In any case, the SEC remains the conference to beat entering the 2011 season, and we'll start our previews in the SEC East.

South Carolina Gamecocks
2010-11 Record: 9-5, (5-3)
Head Coach: Steve Spurrier

The 2010 season was almost a Cinderella story for the Cocks. After finally breaking from languishing at the bottom of the SEC, they took advantage of a weakened division en-route to a SEC West crown, before running into the reality known as the 2010-11 Auburn Tigers in the SEC Championship game. With a majority of the SEC in rebuilding mode, is this the year the ol' Ball Coach and the boys down in Columbia can take their game to the next level?

South Carolina has the makings of an offensive juggernaut despite some uncertainty at QB. They return, in my opinion, pound-for-pound the best running back in the country in Marcus Lattimore (249 carries, 1,197 yards, 17 TD's). His ceiling is unbelievable and, what's more, he's just a sophomore. Complementing him on the outside will be junior wideout Alshon Jefferey (88 catches, 1,517 yards, 9 TD's). The offensive line returns 3 starters and will have a former JUCO All-American in Kaleb Broome vying for one of the two remaining spots. Stephen Garcia returns as the starting QB after an impressive yet inconsistent 2010 (3,059 yards, 20 TD's, 14 TD's). While unquestionably the most talented QB on the roster, his 17-13 career record shows that his intangibles may not be as bullet-proof. Spurrier is not afraid to employ a QB by committee system, and all reports indicate Garcia will be on a very short leash with mega-talented sophomore Connor Shaw waiting in the wings.

In addition to a potent offense, the Gamecocks should unleash yet another vicious defense led by number one overall recruit Jadeveon Clowney. Although the line lost a number of starters who helped them lead the league in sacks last year, the duo of Melvin Ingram and Travian Robertson will certainly cause opposing offensive lines massive headaches. The linebackers are sturdy with All-SEC caliber LB's Rodney Paulk and Shaq Wilson returning and the vastly talented yet under-performing secondary will be led by All-American CB Stephon Gilmore. Safeties D.J. Legree and Jimmy Swearinger must play better if the Cocks want to have a truly outstanding defense. The schedule is on par with previous years, but the expectations surrounding this team dictate nothing short of a division crown and, quite possibly, an SEC title.

2011-12 Prediction: 11-1, (7-1)


Georgia Bulldogs
2010-11 Record: 6-7, (3-5)
Head Coach: Mark Richt

After ten years of largely unfulfilled expectations, culminating with a preseason number 1 ranking in 2008, only to finish second in the SEC East, is the shine finally rubbing off Mark Richt? Georgia once again has the talent to fuel expectations in Athens. After losing to the worst Florida team in years, Richt has to hope that the stars align and the Dawgs can give the Gamecocks a run for their money, or his tenure between the Hedges may very well end quite unceremoniously.

The offense will be under the direction of arguably the best signal caller in the conference, Aaron Murray (3,049 yards, 24 TD's, 8 INT's). His stats should only increase with another year of seasoning in the offense and he will be helped by an offensive line returning 3 starters who got progressively better as 2010 wore on, although they will severely miss LT Trinton Sturdivant, who's out for the season with a knee injury. They will also miss All-American wideout A.J. Green (57 catches, 848 yards, 9 TD's), and hope Tacarres King and Rantavious Wooten can ease the transition. Murray's go to receiver will be TE Orson Charles (26 catches, 422 yards, 2 TD's), who has a unique skill set for a big framed receiver. The situation is somewhat less pressing at RB where senior Caleb King (80 carries, 430 yards, 2 TD's) and true freshman Isaiah Crowell, one of Richt's highest touted recruits, should fill the void left by Washaun Ealey's transfer.

The defense, in its second year under Todd Grantham's 3-4, will count on seven returning starters to solidify. JUCO transfer, Jon Jenkins, is a mountain at 6'6, 340 lbs, and should be one of the better NT's in the conference. The two starting corners, Brandon Boykins (3 INT's) and Sanders Commings, as well as All-SEC safety talent Bacarri Rambo (3 INT's) make up a formidable secondary, which should dominate a division with sparse receiving threats. With eight games in the state of Georgia, and no LSU, Alabama, or Arkansas on the slate, the time is now for the Dawgs to put up, or bid farewell to Richt.

2011-12 Prediction: 8-4, (5-3)

Florida Gators
2010-11 Record: 8-5, (4-4)
Head Coach: Will Muschamp

Across the nation, people have been wondering who has the ability to replace the iconic Urban Meyer in Gainesville. Gator Nation hopes they found their man in Texas transplant, Will Muschamp. After a surge in popularity and wins from 2007-2009, the program fell back to earth last year with a sub-par record, boosted by two wins against non-conference chumps. Things look to improve this year, but an SEC divisional crown looks out of reach.

Talented QB John Brantley (2,061 yards, 9 TD's, 10 INT's) was severely hand-cuffed last year by a spread-oriented coaching staff with no ability to utilize his talents. Under the direction of new offensive coordinator, Charlie Weiss, Brantley should finally develop into the star people are expecting. Waiting in the wings is true freshman Jeff Driskel. At 6'4, 238 lbs and a cannon for an arm, the young gun slinger is already drawing comparisons to a certain legendary Florida QB...and no, not Danny Wuerffel. RB Jeff Demps (92 carries, 551 yards, 3 TD's) is a track star on the football field and can outrun any defense. The problem is, he often forgets that he is, in fact, a football player. 237 of his 551 yards came against Florida's first two opponents, after which, he disappeared. Senior Chris Rainey is a threat, when healthy, but the team's only true RB is Mack Brown, who should have an increased role. Senior Deonte Thompson and sophomore Quinton Dunbar lead a receiving unit that vastly underperformed last year and looks to blossom under Weiss' tutelage. TE Jordan Reed is a diamond in the rough, as the converted QB has the tools to become the best in the SEC. The biggest question mark on offense is the line. Despite a glut of talent and depth, there will be only two returning starters with a combined 27 starts between them. Sophomore Jonotthan Harrison will be tasked with replacing the stalwart Pouncey twins. If the unit doesn't gel quickly, Brantley's break-out year may not translate as hoped.

The Florida defense was quietly solid in 2010, ranking 9th overall in total yards allowed and 12th in pass defense. Much like the offense, the defense will count on the ascension of a mega talented class led by sophomore DE Ronald Powell. The interior will be paced by senior tackle William Green, but hopes the injury bug passes over them. The line must step up to protect a solid, if unspectacular, linebacking unit. Working in their favor is Head Coach Muschamp's experience putting together fearsome lines for the Longhorns which should help alleviate some of the 'look like Tarzan, play like Jane' concerns. The secondary is still reeling from the dismissal of All-SEC play maker Janoris Jenkins after his second arrest for marijuana possession in three months. Incoming starter Matt Elam has the speed, smarts, and talent to be the next major superstar at the CB position, and the overall athleticism of the back four will mask some of their early missteps. The young Gators are loaded with talent and another run at a National Championship is a distinct possibility...next year.

2011-12 Prediction: 7-5, (4-4)

Kentucky Wildcats

2010-11 Record: 6-7, (2-6)

Head Coach: Joker Phillips

Chances are, fans in Lexington aren't too concerned with the state of the football program. However, it shouldn't preclude them from noticing that the Cats have a chance to be sneaky good this year. Hey, if South Carolina can escape the bottom of the SEC...

The strength of the offensive is their massive O-line. With four full time starters returning, five if you count the perfectly named Billy Joe Murphy's nine starts, this is, for all purposes, the same line that allowed the second fewest sacks in the SEC last year, despite having QB/tree impersonator, Brian Hartline, under center. With a little more seasoning and a little luck, the Cats could easily have the best group of hogs in the SEC. The only knock is the lack of experience among veteran reserves, but if the Cats can form a two deep rotation this spring, watch out. A lot will be riding on junior QB Morgan Newton; after being forced into action as an injury replacement his freshman year, Newton spent most of last year on the bench behind Hartline. At 6'4, 235 lbs, he's has good size and an arm that can make all the throws. His tremendous upside have the coaches licking their chops, but if he struggles early, don't overlook true freshman grayshirt, Maxwell Smith, at 6'5, 225 lbs with an equally strong arm. Much of the QB's success will depend on the athletic but raw receiving corps. Star Randall Cobb (84 catches, 1,017 yards, 7 TD's) left to ply his trade in the NFL, opening the door for junior La'Rod King (36 catches, 478 yards, 5 TD's). King proved he has the makings of an All-SEC performer after scoring four times against South Carolina and Auburn. The unit, as noted, are the perfect NFL prototypes as King, senior Matt Roark, and sophomore Brian Adams are 6'4 or taller and all run in the 4.4-40 range.

The 2010 Kentucky defense was a tale of two units: an abhorrent front four which could not rush the passer (11th in the SEC in sacks) and struggled against the run (45th in total defense), yet was spectacular against the pass, ranking 14th in the nation. This may have been a little inflated since most teams ran Kentucky into the ground, but the numbers are impressive nonetheless. I don't expect much improvement along the line, but they will have to play better and allow less than 177 rushing yards per game if the team is to stand a chance. The unit should have plenty of big athletic bodies, but no true stars; Phillips must maximize the production of this unit to give his secondary a break. Last year's linebacking corps was good enough to clean up the mess the line left behind and is spearheaded by violently underrated LB Danny Trevathan. The senior finished with a blistering 144 tackles (16 for loss) along with 3 sacks, and it was a crime to leave him out of the running for the Butkus Award. That mistake won't be made again this year. Senior Ronnie Snead is a great complement to Trevathan, and the two will routinely fly past opposing lines but, again, should the defensive line play poorly, they will see most of the action going over their heads for a second straight season. Playing to their strength, look for the Cats to employ a heavy dose of the 4-2-5. Strong safety Winston Guy (106 tackles, 3 INT's)  leads a group of five returning starters. Senior Randall Burden has all the makings of a true shutdown corner, and fellow senior Anthony Mosely, with his 4.36 speed, won't be outrun by anybody in the SEC. The unit as a whole is speedy and versatile and won't make many mistakes. 

2011-12 Prediction: 7-5, (4-4)


Tennessee Volunteers
2010-11 Record: 6-7, (3-5)
Head Coach: Derek Dooley

Rocky Top has seen a tumultuous last few seasons, and it has clearly affected the product on the field. After winning at least 8 games from 1989-2007, the program has gone 18-20 the last three years, and blew through two coaches (Phil Fulmer and Lane Kiffin). The hopes of the Vols now rest on Coach Dooley and the relative hot streak his team entered the last half of the 2010 season. How much one can read into that November four win streak is debatable, however, as the Vols played one of the worst teams in the country, Memphis, and then three straight against the worst teams in the SEC not named Tennessee.

QB Tyler Bray grew out of his early deer-in-headlights stage, putting together a respectable eight game season (1,849 yards, 18 TD's, 10 INT's) given he was going for broke on almost every other play. Bray spent a lot of time on his backside as well; true freshmen on the line combined for a total of 26 starts and was just plain bad. Three of those freshmen return and, along with some veterans, will total 50 starts this year but I expect growth to be a little slow. Helping them will be returning RB Tauren Poole (204 carries, 1,034 yards, 11 TD's) who needs to produce some serious damage to help Bray avoid the hospital. The team also needs to commit more to the ground game as they developed the curious habit of forgetting about their backs in the red-zone last year. Losing the top three wideouts to graduation will hurt Bray's development but Zach Rogers and Da'Rick Rogers are talents who have the ability to produce big plays. Keep an eye on burner Justin Hunter who was an all-or nothing player last year; his staggering 25.9 YPC was balanced by passes heading his way connecting fewer than forty percent of the time.

Defense will be another rebuilding project for coordinator Justin Wilcox, who has yet to produce a sound (and underrated) unit like he did at Boise St. Tennessee's line was middle of the road but could not cover up for a poor linebacking corps. It should be better in 2011 despite returning only two starters in the front seven. Senior Malik Jackson (48 tackles, 5 sacks) will anchor the line. Jacques Smith and Willie Bohannon could be immediate talents to complement the senior. The issues at linebacker remain, however, with the Vols returning one healthy, experienced linebacker in Austin Johnson. Junior Herman Lather was slated to build off an impressive sophomore season (60 tackles) but after missing spring with shoulder issues, Lather fractured his ankle and will be out at least the first two months of the season. The strongest area of the defense was the secondary, but that unit also has major questions entering the season. Second team All-SEC safety Prentiss Wagner (47 tackles, 5 INT's, 3 recovered fumbles) is the major returning starter. Brent Brewer was looking to join Wagner and form one of the better duos in the country before he got suspended indefinitely. His loss will be minimized if safety Janzen Jackson (55 tackles, 5 INT's) returns after leaving the team for personal reasons. The schedule presents some opportunities, and some major roadblocks including a three week gauntlet in the middle of the season. Look for the Vols to make noise again in 2012.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (2-6)

Vanderbilt Commodores

2010-11 Record: 2-10, (1-7)

Head Coach: James Franklin

Saying last year's season was an unmitigated disaster wouldn't be overstating or understating anything. A 'disaster' implies that something better was expected which, in Vandy's case, is assuredly not the case. Former Terps offensive coordinator/coach in waiting James Franklin now takes the reigns at the perennial doormat of the SEC. Vandy hopes that Franklin's knack for transforming underdogs transplants to Nashville.

Ordinarily, having nine returning starters on one side of the ball would give most teams a reason to celebrate; unfortunately, Vandy's offense was terrible last season, scoring an anemic 12 points per game in SEC play. QB Larry Smith (1,262 yards, 6 TD's, 5 INT's) is the "starter," but with six scholarship QB's vying for the starting spot, his whopping 47.4 completion percentage may not last very long. Udom Umoh, returns as the team's leading receiver, but at only 6'0, 180 lbs, he is more suited for the 'Z' role than an 'X' or 'Y'. Jerry Rice's younger cousin, Jordan Matthews, (15 catches, 181 yards, 4 TD's) could be an upcoming star on the team along with returning leading receiver, TE Brandon Barden (34 catches, 425 yards, 3 TD's). The brightest spot on offense is the RB duo of Warren Norman and Zac Stacey. They combined for 790 yards and seven scores despite missing a combined seven games due to injury. They will rely on an offensive line returning all five starters but only one true star in sophomore All-American Wesley Johnson. On defense, a line that was expected to produce in 2010 was ravaged by injuries, but returns three starters. The line accounted for an SEC-low, twenty sacks last year, and hopes to make strides. Ends Tim Fugger and Walker May will be counted on to raise their decent production, and the secondary returns four starters. Linebacker will be the weakest unit after the loss of two starters. All in all, things don't look good for the Dores and I suspect Franklin's first year will have its fair share of growing pains.

2011-12 Prediction: 2-10, (0-8)

Around the Nation, Part 3: Wrapping up the PAC-12

PAC-12

Washington Huskies
2010-11 Record: 7-6, (5-4)
Head Coach: Steve Sarkisian

Steve Sarkisian enters his third season as Head Coach with his program at a crossroads. After an average 2009-10 season, the Huskies improved to a winning record both overall and in conference behind the leadership of enigmatic QB Jake Locker (2,265 yards, 17 TD's, 9 INT's). Heading into 2011, the Dawgs are hoping this is the year the team manages to escape from the dregs of the PAC-12 and trends toward contending.

Quarterback will be the position to watch in Seattle this year as sophomore Keith Price looks to lock down the starting job after playing sparingly behind Locker, including a 127 yard effort vs defending champions Oregon in garbage time. All eyes, however, will be on sophomore Nick Montana, son of legendary 49er's QB Joe Montana, whom Sarkisian redshirted last year. The offensive line should steadily improve with senior Senio Kelemete and junior center Drew Schaefer leading the way for a unit entering 2011 with sixty-five combined starts. The highlight of the offense will be junior RB, Chris Polk, who looks to build upon a fantastic sophomore season (260 yards, 1,415 yards, 9 TD's). Granted his stats were a little inflated thanks to a 284 yard effort against Washington St, but he will still be a force. Wide receiver will be the most talented position as seniors Jermaine Kearse (63 catches, 1,005 yards, 12 TD's), Devin Aguilar (28 catches, 352 yards, 2 TD's), and junior James Johnson, who was limited in 2010 due to injury, all return.

On defense, All-PAC-12 talent DT Alameda Ta'amu returns and should have another excellent season provided he gets contributions from his compatriots. Linebacker, Cort Dennison, returns as the heart of the defense (92 tackles, 2 sacks). CB's Quentin Richardson and Desmond Trufant look to build on solid 2010 campaigns, while Sean Parker could be a star in the making at safety. The schedule does the Dawgs no favors, and a slight regression in record, not improvement, should be expected.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (4-4)

Arizona State Sun Devils
2010-11 Record: 6-6, (4-5)
Head Coach: Dennis Erickson

Expectation. That one word sufficiently describes the state of ASU's upcoming season. After three bowl game-less seasons, Head Coach Dennis Erickson may be entering his final season in the desert. Eight returning starters on both offense and defense give the Devils hope that 2011 may be the year that momentum, talent, and expectation all blend together.

Junior QB Brock Osweiler leads the offense after various emergency call ups in 2010. Over his last two starts, the former basketball recruit racked up over six hundred yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions. With an incoming eighty-four starts between the offensive linemen (all five starters return), it should be assumed that the unit will be able to cut down on the 31 sacks they surrendered last year. The Devils have arguably the best running back tandem in the conference, with returning junior, Cameron Marshall, (150 carries, 787 yards, 9 TD's) and sophomore Deantre Lewis (92 carries, 539 yards, 4 TD's) looking to ground out close wins that eluded the squad in previous years. State's returning receivers, Kerry Taylor, T.J. Simpson (who is currently injured) and Mike Willie must improve their forty-one percent target rate, which was third lowest in the country among WR trios.

The defense lost a key contributor in Omar Bolden after he tore his ACL this spring, and will rely more than ever on junior All-American LB, Vontaze Burfict, (89 tackles, 2 forced fumbles). Burfict's talent has never been questioned; his maturity is the main issue after leading the PAC-10 in personal foul penalties last year. Although the unit held six opponents to 20 points or fewer last year, the secondary is the biggest question mark. After the loss of Bolden, CB Osahon Irabor (33 tackles) will be forced into the playmaker role. If CB Deveron Carr and FS Keelan Johnson can recover from injury, the back four will be bolstered considerably.

2011-12 Prediction: 9-3, (6-3)

California Golden Bears
2010-11 Record: 5-7, (3-6)
Head Coach: Jeff Tedford

Janus, the two headed Roman god, probably studied the ways of the 2010 Bears. Cal was extremely tough at home, limiting eventual conference champion, Oregon, to 15 points, and horrendous on the road, losing by 28 to Oregon State. In the twenty-eight years before Coach Tedford took the reigns, Cal had nine winning seasons; in the last nine years, the Bears had eight winning seasons. Will that continue, or will last year's disaster put Tedford squarely on the hot-seat?

Transfer, QB Zach Maynard, will be given the keys to the offense after a stellar season in Turner Gill's final year in Buffalo (2,894 yards, 18 TD's, 15 INT's). Junior RB Isi Sofele will be charged with replacing departed Shane Vereen's (231 carries, 1,167 yards, 13 TD's)  numbers. The offensive line will be led by left tackle, Mitchell Schwartz, whose 38 career starts account for nearly half of the eighty-five combined starts, and should have no difficulty opening holes for Sofele & Co. Senior wideout Marvin Jones (50 catches, 765 yards, 4 TD's) and sophomore Keenan Allen (46 catches, 490 yards, 5 TD's) must improve if Cal is to climb higher than 94th in passing offense.

Despite its 18th overall ranking, Cal's defense was feast or famine in 2010, alternating between excruciatingly stingy at home, and sieve-like on the road. An extremely aggressive 3-4 scheme should enable senior Trevor Guyton (29 tackles, 4.5 sacks, in four starts) to replicate the success of NFL first round pick, Cameron Jordan. Should his linemates hold up their end of the attack, the front four should be one of the stoutest in the PAC-12. The Bears lost two extremely talented linebackers, but also return two All-PAC-10's in Mychal Kendricks (66 tackles, 8.5 sacks) and D.J Holt (85 tackles, 2 sacks, 3 forced fumbles). The secondary played above expectations last year, yielding 15 passing TD's (5 to USC's Matt Barkley), and return two of four starters. Senior safety Sean Cattouse is the unpolished, yet phenomenally talented backstop of the unit. CB Marc Anthony (48 tackles, 2 INT's) returns as well and the junior should step up after his first full year of work.

2011-12 Prediction: 7-5, (5-5)

Arizona Wildcats
2010-11 Record: 7-6, (4-5)
Head Coach: Mike Stoops

Seven years after Coach Stoops started calling the shots in Tuscon, the Cats are in a much better position than they have ever been, but still have not broken the overall .500 plateau. Three straight bowl games have given the faithful reason for optimism, but in true Arizona fashion, the wins somehow seem to highlight the inadequacies of the squad rather than the progress, including a five-game losing streak to end 2010.

What the Cats have in skill position prowess, they more than lose in offensive line stability, with injury replacement center Kyle Quinn's one start the high water mark for the unit, leaving it at 120th in college football. The gelling of the freshman tackles, along with the departure of positional coach Bill Bedenbaugh to West Virginia, will go a long way in determining whether QB Nick Foles (3,191 yards, 20 TD's, 10 INT's) can replicate a stellar 2010, or will spend extra time looking up at the floodlights. Standout WR Juron Criner returns after a banner junior year (82 catches, 1,233, 11 TD's) and will be joined by workman-like senior David Douglas, who can play the 'X', 'Y' or 'Z' positions. Senior Keola Antolin (143 carries, 668 yards, 7 TD's) will be the feature back, but the depth behind him is troubling after junior Greg Nwoko tore his ACL in spring training.

The uncertainty of the line pales in comparison to the state of the defense, which lost five key starters to graduation. Youth will be the name of the game, and the youngsters will have to master a steep learning curve. The defensive line lost All-PAC 10's Brooks Reed and Ricky Elmore to the NFL and, much like the O-line, has only one returning starter with more than four starts. Linebacker is equally thin as Jake Fischer, who was expected to anchor the corps, tore his ACL, and the Cats will rely on their JUCO transfers from last year to take their game to the next level. The secondary is a work in progress. New strong safety Marquis Flowers is an All-PAC 12 in the making, but senior CB Trevin Wade must return to his 2009 form if the unit has any hope of improving from a disappointing 2010.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (4-5)

Oregon State Beavers
2010-11 Record: 5-7, (4-5)
Head Coach: Mike Riley

The Beavers suffered their first losing season since 2005 last year, despite the presence of all world talents James and Jaquizz Rodgers. With James going through two offseason surgeries, two new offensive coaches, and myriad injuries at seemingly every position, only time will tell if Coach Riley can prevent a lost season in Corvallis.

On offense, the line must have a better season in 2011. With 91 combined starts between the starters, center Alex Linnenkohl will be responsible for spearheading the improvement, given that Jacquizz will not be there to bail them out. Junior QB Ryan Katz (2,401 yards, 17 TD's, 11 INT's) is recovering from a broken scaphoid bone in his throwing wrist but should be okay come September. The running back position is wide open, with Ryan McCants, Jordan Jenkins, and Jovan Stevenson all competing for the number one spot, although a scheme by committee could be in the cards. Junior Markus Wheaton (55 catches, 675 yards, 4 TD's) must step up if the Beavs want to have any semblance of an aerial attack. The biggest rebuilding project is the defense. Riley must try and replace 2010 PAC-10 Defensive Player of the Year, Stephen Paea, and rebuild two-thirds of his linebacking group. Despite the loss of outstanding CB James Dockery, the secondary should be the strength of the unit, with safety Lance Mitchell (74 tackles, 2 INT's) leading the way. Few PAC-12 receivers will have the speed to beat CB Jordan Poyer, but with the massive overhaul expected in the front seven, this unit will face a lot of pressure and could have trouble replicating the effort, especially with a slate of particularly brutal road games, starting off week 1 at Madison, against the Badgers.

2011-12 Prediction: 4-7, (4-5)

Around the Nation, Part 2: The PAC-12

PAC-12

The newly realigned PAC-12 will be looking for another banner year by its teams. The biggest question facing the conference is how the additions of new comers Utah and Colorado will affect recruiting, exposure, and perception. Here's a look at what we can expect from these teams, in no particular order.

Oregon Ducks
2010-11 Record: 12-1, (9-0); Defeated in National Championship game by Auburn
Head Coach: Chip Kelly

Ducks fly together. Unless you happen to be CB Cliff Harris who was pulled over after clocking 118 mph in a rental car, on a suspended license. Harris, who had a stellar 2010 on defense (6 INT's, 1 TD) and special teams (school record 4 punt return TD's) is now indefinitely suspended from the team, and the NCAA is looking into any nefarious angles associated with the situation.

On the field, however, the Ducks look as fierce as ever, at least on offense. Heisman finalist LaMichael James (294 carries, 1,731 yards, 21 TD's) and star QB Darron Thomas (2,881 yards, 30 TD's, 9 INT's) return to fuel the 'blur' as do offensive lineman Darrion Weems, Mark Asper, and Carson York. Their 56 combined starts ranks in the lower fourth in the nation, but Steve Greatwood is one of the best positional coaches in the country and will put a powerful line together. The wideout group will sorely miss Jeff Maehl (77 catches, 1,076 yards, 12 TD's), but Josh Huff, who racked up 1,086 all purpose yards in 2010, is the leading candidate to fill Maehl's shoes. Senior Lavasier Tuinei looks to continue his pace from an injury shortened 2010 and will be counted on for leadership. In order for Oregon to make a repeat appearance, their defense will have to overcome some major holes. The Ducks need to replace four members of last year's outstanding front seven and, with the suspension of Harris, both CB's. They won't have much time to mature, as Oregon's first game is a prime-time matchup vs retooled LSU. A defeat would surely submarine the Ducks' campaign before it got started.

2011-12 Prediction: 11-1, (9-0)

Stanford Cardinal
2010-11 Record: 12-1, (8-1)
Head Coach: David Shaw

The Cardinal completed a storybook season in 2010 thanks to Superman QB Andrew Luck, a vicious defense, and the direction provided by tough-nosed Jim Harbaugh. The 2011 version of the Cardinal has a few holes to fill if another run at defending PAC-12 champs Oregon is in store. The return of Luck (3,338 yards, 32 TD's, 8 INT's) automatically makes them contenders on paper. Helping him will be junior RB Stepfan Taylor (223 carries, 1,137 yards, 15 TD's) who could be a sleeper Heisman contender with Luck. Outside of those two playmakers, however, the Card(s?) have some nagging issues.

Gone is do-everything FB/LB Owen Marecic as well as Luck's two favorite targets in Doug Baldwin (58 catches, 857 yards, 9 TD's) and Ryan Whalen (41 catches, 439 yards, 2 TD's). Luck's new targets will include senior Chris Owusu and junior Jamal Rashad-Patterson, who combined for 645 yards and 2 TD's. Both have good size and speed, coupled with experience. Luck's main target will most likely be senior TE Coby Fleener who emerged as one of the best pass catching TE's in the country last year (28 catches, 434 yards, 7 TD's). The biggest issue on offense will be the young and inexperienced offensive line. Last year, Luck was sacked a paltry 5 times, but Chase Beeler, Andrew Phillips, and Derek Hall have moved on. Senior Jonathan Martin will be counted on to anchor the line and keep Luck upright. The defense needs major retooling as well; Senior DE Matthew Masifilo is the only returning starter on the line and the team needs to replace a majority of the linebacking corps. Safeties Delano Howell and Michael Thomas will be counted on to backstop an average secondary. The schedule sets up nicely for the Cardinal in a weak conference, as home games vs Oregon and Notre Dame will be the most daunting challenges.

2011-12 Prediction: 10-2, (8-1)

Colorado Buffaloes
2010-11 Record (in Big 12): 5-7, (2-6)
Head Coach: Jon Embree

Why it took the brain trust at Colorado so long to fire Dan Hawkins ranks right up alongside the 1947 Roswell incident and what actually happened to Elvis as one of the greatest mysteries of the last century. The Buffs are looking to start fresh with a brand new coach in a brand new conference.

The success will start with the offensive line, which boasts a PAC-12 tops and 17th best in the country, ninety-seven combined starts. This should greatly help underrated RB Rodney Stewart (290 carries, 1,318 yards, 10 TD's) produce similar numbers and take a vast amount of pressure off unproven senior QB Tyler Hansen (1,102 yards, 6 TD's, 6 INT's in seven starts). Sophomore wideout Paul Richardson leads a solid group of young receivers and looks to build off an impressive freshman season (34 catches, 514 yards, 6 TD's) playing across from now-departed Scotty McKnight. Rounding out the pass catchers will be sneaky good TE Ryan Deehan (25 catches, 249 yards, 1 TD), poised to take a step forward in his second full season. The defense should be strong, switching back to a base 4-3. All of last year's line, which ranked top five in the Big 12 in both run defense and sacks (+13), is back. Joining them is linebacker Jon Major, fully healthy after another knee injury (hopefully). Alongside him will be potential star, Doug Rippy, who could be an All-PAC 12 player provided he performs with some consistency. The weak-link in the group is the secondary, which must replace CB's Jimmy Smith and Jalil Brown. Senior safety Anthony Perkins looks to lead the group once again, after suffering a torn ACL in week 5. The schedule is the largest obstacle facing the Buffs; Ohio St., Stanford, and Utah on the road, in addition to home games vs Oregon and USC could make their transition year quite painful.

2011-12 Prediction: 6-7, (4-6)

Washington State Cougars
2010-11 Record: 2-10, (1-8)
Head Coach: Paul Wulff

Reasons for cheering in Pullman have been few and far between since 2002. The Cougars have been chalked up as an automatic 'W' for most programs in the PAC-12 the past couple of seasons, except for slightly less bad, state-sharing, Washington. A 2-25 conference record over Coach Wulff's three year tenure leaves the Cougs looking way, way up from the bottom.

Any hope starts with QB Jeff Tuel. The third year starter is coming off a quietly solid season (2,780 yards, 18 TD's, 12 INT's) and is primed to continue his ascent, provided his offensive line doesn't get him killed. Tuel has two excellent receivers in senior Jared Karstetter (62 catches, 658 yards, 7 TDs) and sophomore Marquess Wilson (55 catches, 1,006 yards, 6 TD's). In the backfield, junior Logwone Mitz returns as the presumed starter after a so-so 2010, (73 carries, 263 yards, 4 TD's) but watch out for redshirt Rickey Galvin who was breathing down Mitz's neck before breaking his arm in the season opener. The defense ranked 117th nationally, but returns seven starters including junior DE, Travis Young, (50 tackles, 5 sacks, 1 forced fumble). The secondary returns all four starters, and freshman DT Toni Pole has the makings of a star. The Cougars will need their offensive line to drastically improve. After surrendering 48 sacks last year, the team has to hope the seventy-one combined starts between the starters allows them to control the line of scrimmage more effectively. The Cougs averaged an anemic 2.6 yards per rushing attempt, were a minus twenty-nine in sacks, and were outscored 111-28 in the first quarter. The schedule presents room for immediate improvement, with games vs Idaho State, UNLV, and on the road at SDSU before facing their first PAC-12 foe, Colorado. The season ending Apple Cup presents the best chance for revenge against U-Dub, as Jake Locker's departure leaves the Huskies trending downward.

2011-12 Prediction: 5-7, (2-7)

Utah Utes
2010-11 Record (in Mountain West): 10-3, (7-1)
Head Coach: Kyle Whittingham

Rice-Eccles Stadium was rocking in its final Mountain West season as the Utes stormed to an 8-0 record and were on the verge of joining fellow mid-majors TCU and Boise St. as a BCS Buster. Then, the wheels fell off, quite literally, and the Utes staggered to a 2-3 finish while putting up a laughable 13 total points in the three losses.

In a new conference, the Utes will have to navigate a slew of changes and hope for a little luck to immediately contend. Former USC guru, Norm Chow, is the new offensive coordinator and needs a few players to step up. QB Jordan Wynn (2,344 yards, 17 TD's, 10 INT's) is recovering from shoulder surgery, and won't have his top two RB's or top two WR's to work with thanks to graduation. The biggest returning weapon is WR DeVonte Christopher (39 catches, 660 yards, 6 TD's). RB is an unsettled position, with senior Mychal Robinson the only experienced starter. The offensive line's sixty-five combined starts ranks in the bottom half of the nation and the PAC-12, but they should do an adequate job. On defense, the Utes will employ only five returning starters, and none of the returning front seven have registered more than two sacks in a season. Linebacker will be the strong point of the unit, returning starters Chaz Walker (113 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble) and Matt Martinez (91 tackles, 1.5 sacks) but there will be issues for the secondary, ranked 73rd last year, which must replace four starters. In a pass-happy PAC-12, that could spell disaster. On the bright side, Utah plays an unbalanced schedule, avoiding Oregon and Stanford which should ensure a winning season.

2011-12 Prediction: 8-5, (7-2)

USC Trojans
2010-11 Record:  8-5, (5-4)
Head Coach: Lane Kiffin

Year number one of post Reggie Bush-gate had its ups and downs, but was not the type of season Southern Californians have come to expect from the men of Troy. A historically bad defense and the lack of enough depth to allow full contact practices, thanks to lost scholarships, were the harbingers of USC's first five-loss season since 2001.

The task of injecting swagger back into the program rides solely on the shoulders of junior QB Matt Barkley (2,791 yards, 26 TD's, 12 INT's). With arguably the best arm in college football, and a game IQ beyond his years, he needs to play with more consistency to make the leap. The Trojans were outscored 118-72 in fourth quarters last year. Helping him out will be a bevy of talented RB's. Senior Marc Tyler (171 carries, 913 yards, 9 TD's) returns and redshirt freshman D.J. Morgan may be the most complete back on the roster. On the receiving end of Barkley's passes will be All-American sophomore Robert Woods who became an instant star with a 65 catch, 792 yard, 6 TD season. The 6'1, 185 lb Woods figures on continual development with Barkley at the helm. The one knock on the unit is maturity. Comprised of lethal athletes, the largest question surrounding them will be their ability to respond to the pressure of playing at a consistently high level. On defense, the Trojans have nowhere to go but up after a disastrous first year in Monte Kiffin's complex system, evidenced by their abhorrent statistics; giving up more than 400 yards and 26 points a game can't be repeated, and the secondary's 30 surrendered touchdowns ranked 115th in the nation. That being said, the front four looks primed for a breakout season behind mega talented DE, Nick Perry, as long as they can avoid the injury bug that has plagued them the past two seasons. The linebackers will be led by budding star Devon Kennard, while a healthy Chris Galippo could be the difference maker lacking on last year's unit. The secondary will have to get better and it starts with junior FS T.J. McDonald. With cornerback speed and linebacker pop, he will be the key to the secondary's fortune. CB Nickell Robey had a team high 4 INT's and has the talent to star as the West Coast's Greg Reid. The ultimate fortune of the Trojans will depend on the offensive line. With a mere twenty-seven combined starts, there is only one true star in junior tackle Matt Kalil. Other than Kalil, there will be at least two rookies in the rotation, and depth will become an issue in a hurry should injuries persist. It's tough to figure out the schedule given all the issues, but games against Notre Dame, Stanford, and Oregon will prove to be tough challenges.

2011-12 Prediction: 8-4, (7-2)

Hopefully, the men of Troy give these lovely ladies something to cheer about this season